NATIONAL INSTITUTE ECONOMIC REVIEW ARTICLES

• No. 203, (Jan 2008), A Review of Forecasting Techniques for Large Data Sets, Eklund, J. and Kapetanios, G.,

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• No. 203, (Jan 2008), Forecasting the Swiss Economy using VECX* Models: an Exercise in Forecast Conbination Across Models and Observation Windows, Assenmacher-Wesche, K. and Pesaran, H.,

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• No. 203, (Jan 2008), Real - Time Probability Forecasts of UK Macroeconomic Events, Garratt, A., Lee, K. and Vahey, S.,

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• No. 203, (Jan 2008), Here is the News: Forecast Revisions in the Bank of England Survey of External Forecasters, Boero, G., Smith, J. and Kenneth F. Wallis,

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• No. 203, (Jan 2008), The GDP Fan Charts: an Empirical Evaluation, Dowd, K.,

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• No. 203, (Jan 2008), Oil Prices and World Inflation, Barrell, R., Pomerantz, O.,

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• No. 203, (Jan 2008), Risk and the UK Exchange Rate, Barrell, R., Holland, D.,

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• No. 203, (Jan 2008), World Economy Forecast, Barrell, R., Holland, D., Liadze, I., Guillemineau, C., Fic, T., Gottschalk, S., Pomerantz, O., Khoman, E.,

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• No. 203, (Jan 2008), UK Economy Forecast, Khoman, E., Kirby, S.,

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• No. 203, (Jan 2008), Recent Developments In Economic Forecasting, Mitchell, J.,

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• No. 203, (Jan 2008), Commentary: The Balance of Payments and the Savings Gap, Weale, M.,

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• No. 204, (May 2008), Prices and price convergence in emerging Europe: an overview, Egert, B.,

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• No. 204, (May 2008), Real wage flexibility in the enlarged EU: evidence from a structural VAR, Babecký, J. and Dybczak, K.,

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• No. 204, (May 2008), Creating productive jobs in East European transition economies, Brown, J. D. and Earle, J. S.,

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• No. 204, (May 2008), Sustainable exchange rates when trade winds are plentiful, Babecký, J., Bulír, A. and Šmídková, K.,

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• No. 204, (May 2008), Effects of foreign ownership on innovation activities: empirical evidence for 12 European countries, Falk, M.,

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• No. 204, (May 2008), Forecast uncertainty and prospects for the UK economy, Barrell, R., Kirby, S.,

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• No. 204, (May 2008), Oil prices and growth, Barrell, R., Kirby, S.,

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• No. 204, (May 2008), Financial crises and the prospects for recession, Barrell, R., Hurst, I.,

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• No. 204, (May 2008), World Economy Forecast, Barrell, R., Gottschalk, S., Fic, T., Orazgani, A., Pomerantz, O., Liadze, I., Guillemineau, C.,

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• No. 204, (May 2008), UK Economy Forecast, Barrell, R., Kirby, S.,

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• No. 204, (May 2008), Introduction: the European Union’s new member states, Holland, D.,

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• No. 204, (May 2008), THE BANKING CRISIS AND THE ECONOMY, Weale, M.,

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• No. 205, (Jul 2008), A Transgenerational Model of Status Attainment: The Potential Mediating Role of School Motivation and Education, Schoon, I.,

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• No. 205, (Jul 2008), Origins of Social Mobility and Inequality: Parenting and Early Child Development, Ermisch, J.,

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• No. 205, (Jul 2008), Up and Down the Generational Income Ladder in Britain: Past Changes and Future Prospects, Blanden, J. and Machi, S.,

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• No. 205, (Jul 2008), Trends in Intergenerational Class Mobility in Modern Britain: Evidence From National Surveys, 1972 - 2005, John H. Goldthorpe and Colin Mills,

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• No. 205, (Jul 2008), Consumtion, Housing Wealth and Financial Crises, Barrell, R., Kirby, S.,

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• No. 205, (Jul 2008), The Oil Intensity of Output, Barrell, R., Kirby, S., Liadze, I.,

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• No. 205, (Jul 2008), World Economy Forecast, Barrell, R., Fic, T., Gottschalk, S., Liadze, I., Orazgani, A., Pomerantz, O.,

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• No. 205, (Jul 2008), UK Economy Forecast, Barrell, R., Kirby, S.,

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• No. 205, (Jul 2008), Prospects for the UK Economy, Kirby, S.,

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• No. 205, (Jul 2008), Social mobility in the UK, Metcalf, H.,

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• No. 205, (Jul 2008), HIGH OIL PRICES: IMPLICATIONS AND PROSPECTS, Weale, M.,

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• No. 206, (Oct 2008), SHOULD MONETARY POLICY RESPOND TO ASSET PRICE BUBBLES? REVISITING THE DEBATE, Sushil Wadhwani,

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• No. 206, (Oct 2008), RISK MANAGEMENT AND THE COSTS OF THE BANKING, Patrick Honohan,

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• No. 206, (Oct 2008), THE BOUNDARY PROBLEM IN FINANCIAL REGULATION, Charles Goodhart,

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• No. 206, (Oct 2008), THE EVOLUTION OF THE FINANCIAL CRISIS OF 2007–8, Barrell, R., Davis, E.,

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• No. 206, (Oct 2008), INTRODUCTION: THE GREAT CRASH OF 2008, Barrell, R.,

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• No. 206, (Oct 2008), FINANCIAL CRISES, REGULATION AND GROWTH, Barrell, R., Hurst, I., Kirby, S., A.I.,

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• No. 206, (Oct 2008), COULD EARLY WARNING SYSTEMS HAVE HELPED TO PREDICT THE SUB-PRIME CRISIS?, Davis, E., Dilruba Karim,

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• No. 206, (Oct 2008), The impact of the financial crisis on the Euro Area, Holland, D., Barrell, R., Fic, T., Gottschalk, S., Hurst, I., Liadze, I., Orazgani, Ali,

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• No. 206, (Oct 2008), Exchange rates and inflationary prospects in Asia, Holland, D., Barrell, R., Fic, T., Gottschalk, S., Hurst, I., Liadze, I., Orazgani, Ali,

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• No. 206, (Oct 2008), Exchange rate realignments and risks of deflation in North America, Holland, D., Barrell, R., Fic, T., Gottschalk, S., Hurst, I., Liadze, I., Orazgani, Ali,

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• No. 206, (Oct 2008), Decomposing the global recession, Holland, D., Barrell, R., Fic, T., Gottschalk, S., Hurst, I., Liadze, I., Orazgani, Ali,

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• No. 206, (Oct 2008), World Economy Forecast, Holland, D., Barrell, R., Fic, T., Gottschalk, S., Hurst, I., Liadze, I., Orazgani, Ali,

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• No. 206, (Oct 2008), Prospects for the UK Economy, Kirby, S., Barrell, R., Fic, T., Orazgani, A.,

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• No. 206, (Oct 2008), UK Economy Forecast, Kirby, S., Barrell, R., Fic, T., Orazgani, A.,

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• No. 206, (Oct 2008), COMMENTARY: THE POLICY FRAMEWORK, Weale, M.,

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• No. 208, (May 2008), The euro: past successes and new challenges, Marco Buti and Paul van den Noord,

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OTHER JOURNAL ARTICLES

• Barrell, R., Hall, S., Hurst, I., (forthcoming), Evaluating Policy Feedback Rules using the joint density function of a stochastic model, Economics Letters

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• Barrell, R., (forthcoming), Financial Liberalisation, Consumption and Wealth Effects in 7 OECD countries, Scottish Journal of Political Economy

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• Barrell, R., Holland, D., FitzGerald, John, (forthcoming), EU enlargement and migration: Assessing the macroeconomic impacts, Journal of Common Market Studies

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• Barrell, R., Gottschalk, S., Holland, D., Khoman, E., Liadze, I., Pomerantz, O., (Apr 2008), The impact of EMU on growth and employment, EUROPEAN ECONOMY. ECONOMIC PAPERS, pp. 62

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• Barrell, R., Holland, D., Liadze, I., Pomerantz,O., (Aug 2008), Volatility, Growth and Cycles, Empirica

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• Bewley, H., Peccei, R., Gospel, H. and Willman, P., (Jun 2008), Look Who’s Talking: Sources of Variation in Information Disclosure in the UK, British Journal of Industrial Relations, pp. 340-366

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• Bishop, K., (Aug 2008), Exploring the role of relationships in the Internationalisation Process in Hungarian and Czech Knowledge Based Ventures. Insights into Motivations, Outcomes and Challenges., International Journal of Entrepreneurship and Innovation

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• Bryson, A., Frick, B. and Simmons, R., (forthcoming), The Returns to Scarce Talent: Footedness and Player Remuneration in European Soccer, Journal of Sports Economics

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• Bryson, A., Buraimo, B. and Simmons, R., (forthcoming), Do Salaries Improve Worker Performance?, Labour Economics

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• Bryson, A., Kleiner, M. M., (forthcoming), The Regulation of Occupations, British Journal of Industrial Relations

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• Bryson, A., Green, F. and Whitfield, K., (Nov 2008), A Quarter Century of Workplace Employment Relations Surveys, British Journal of Industrial Relations, pp. 577-586

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• Bryson, A., Gomez, R. and Willman, P., (Dec 2008), From the Two Faces of Unionism to the Facebook Society: Union Voice in a Twenty-First-Century Context, Proceedings of the 60th Annual Meeting of the Labor and Employment Relations Association, pp. 51-60

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• Fic, T., Barrell, R., Holland, D., (Sep 2008), Entry rates and the risks of misalignment in the EU8, Journal of Policy Modeling, pp. 761-774

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• Forth, J., McNabb, R., (Mar 2008), Workplace Performance: A Comparison of Subjective and Objective Measures in the 2004 Workplace Employment Relations Survey, Industrial Relations Journal, pp. 104-123

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• Gottschalk, S., Hall, S., (forthcoming), Foreign direct investment and exchange rate uncertainty in South-East Asia, International Journal of Finance and Economics

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• Hopkin, R., Sharp, J., (), Science within the Primary Curriculum: a Regional Perspective on Preparation to Teach, Educationalfutures, pp. 51-62

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• Hopkin, R., Sharp, J., (Jan 2008), Profession makes progress in primary science, Primary First, pp. 6-9

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• Kangasniemi, M., Commander, Simon; Chanda, Rupa; Winters, L Alan, (forthcoming), The consequences of globalisation: India’s software industry and cross border labour mobility, The World Economy

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• Khoman, E., Mitchell, J., Weale, M., (Jan 2008), Incidence-based Estimates of Healthy Life Expectancy for the United Kingdom: Coherence between Transition Probabilities and Aggregate Life Tables, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A, pp. 203-222

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• Kirby, S., Riley, R., (Sep 2008), The external returns to education: UK evidence using repeated cross-sections, Labour Economics, pp. 619-630

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• Kirsanova, T., Sefton, J., (forthcoming), A Comparison of National Saving Rates in the UK, US and Italy, European Economic Review

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• Mason, G., Williams , G. and Cranmer, S., (forthcoming), Employability skills initiatives in higher education: what effects do they have on graduate labour market outcomes, Education Economics

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• Meadows, P., Metcalf, H., (Sep 2008), Does literacy and numeracy training for adults increase employment and employability? Evidence from the Skills for Life programme in England, Industrial Relations Journal, pp. 346-353

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• O'Mahony, M., Vecchi, M., (Oct 2008), R&D knoweledge spillovers and company productivity performance, Research Policy 38 (2009)

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• Rosazza Bondibene, C., Dolton, P., (forthcoming), An Evaluation of the International Experience of Minimum Wages in an Economic Downturn, Economic Policy

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• Rosazza Bondibene, C., Dolton, P., Wadsworth, J., (forthcoming), Employment, Inequality and the UK National Minimum Wage over the Medium-Term, Oxford Bulletin of Economics

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• Sefton, J., van de Ven, J., Weale, M., (Apr 2008), Means Testing Retirement Benefits: fostering equity or discouraging savings?, Economic Journal, pp. 556-590

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• Taylor, C., (Mar 2008), Foreign direct investment and the euro: the first five years, Cambridge Journal of Economics 2008, pp. 01-28

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• Weale, M., (forthcoming), A Cost-benefit Analysis of Cataract Surgery based on the English Longitudinal Survey of Ageing, Journal of Health Economics, pp. xxxx

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BOOKS / CHAPTERS IN BOOKS

• Lloyd, C., Osborne, M., Payne, J., (forthcoming), \'It\'s just the nature of the job at the end of the day\': Pay and job quality in UK mass market call centres, Low Paid Work in the UK, Edited by: Lloyd, C., Mayhew, K., Publisher: Russell Sage Foundation, New York,

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• Bishop, K., (2008), Dekonta: a post Velvet revolution fairy tale of diversification and internationalisation, The Cutting Edge: Innovation and Entrepreneurship in New Europe, Edited by: Aidis, R., Welter, F., Publisher: Edward Elgar, Cheltenham,

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• Bishop, K., Salter, A., Reichstein, T., (2008), Exploring the role of geographic proximity in shaping university-industry interactions, Creating Wealth from Knowledge, Edited by: Bessant, J., Venables, T., Publisher: Edward Elgar, Cheltenham,

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• Bryson, A., Wood, S. J., (2008), High Involvement Management, The Evolution of the Modern British Workplace, Publisher: Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, ISBN 9780521514569

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• Bryson, A., Freeman, R., (2008), What Voice Do British Workers Want?, What Workers Say: Employee Voice in the Anglo-American Workplace,

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• Bryson, A., Forth, J., (forthcoming), Trade Unions, The State of Working Britain (3rd ed), Edited by: P. Gregg and J. Wadsworth, Publisher: Oxford University Press, Oxford,

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• Bryson, A., Pendleton, A. and Whitfield, K., (2008), The Changing Use of Contingent Pay at the Modern British Workplace, The Evolution of the Modern British Workplace, Publisher: Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, ISBN 9780521514569

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• Bryson, A., Forth, J., (forthcoming), The Evolution of the Modern Worker: Attitudes to Work, British Social Attitudes: The 27th Report, Edited by: A. Park, Publisher: Sage Publications, London, pp. tbc,

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• Forth, J., Bryson, A., (2008), The Theory and Practice of Pay Setting, The SAGE Handbook of Industrial Relations, Edited by: Blyton, P., Heery E., Bacon N., Fiorito, J., Publisher: Sage Publications, London, pp. 491-512, ISBN 9781412911542

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• Mason, G., Lloyd, C., Osborne, M. and Payne, J., (2008), ‘It’s just the nature of the job at the end of the day’ : pay and job quality in UK mass market call centres, C. Low-Paid Work in the UK, Publisher: Russell Sage Foundation, New York,

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• Mason, G., Mayhew, K., Osborne, M., (2008), Low pay, labour market institutions and job quality in the UK, Low-Paid Work in the UK, Edited by: Lloyd, C., Mayhew, K., Publisher: Russell Sage Foundation, New York,

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• Mason, G., O'Leary, B., Vecchi, M., (2008), La cualificación de la mano de obra y su efecto en la productividad relativa: algunas comparaciones internacionales [Workforce skills and relative productivity performance: international comparisons], in Claves de la Economiá Mundial, pp. 139-148,

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• Mason, G., Osborne, M., (2008), Business strategies, work organisation and low pay in UK retailing, Edited by: Lloyd, C., Mayhew, K., Publisher: Russell Sage Foundation, New York,

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• Metcalf, H., Meadows, P., (2008), Outcomes for basic skills learners: a four-year longitudinal study, Tracking adult basic skills: findings from longitudinal research, Edited by: Bynner, J and Reder, S., Publisher: Routledge, Oxford,

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• Metcalf, H., Rolfe, H., (forthcoming), Women’s Choices in the labour market, Publisher: Government Equalities office,

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• O'Mahony, M., Stevens, P., Stokes, L., (2008), Public service productivity: new approaches to performance measurement in health sectors, Managing to Improve Public Services, Edited by: Hartley, J., Donaldson, C., Skelcher, C. and Wallace, M., Publisher: Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 115-133,

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• Rolfe, H., (2008), Rural Opportunities: a study of work-related learning opportunities in the rural economy for young people aged 14-19, Publisher: NESTA, London,

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• Rolfe, H., (2008), Rural Opportunities: a study of work-related learning opportunities in the rural economy for young people aged 14-19, Publisher: NESTA, London,

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• Rolfe, H., Metcalf, H., (forthcoming), Review of policies and programmes affecting gender equality in employment, Publisher: Government Equalities office,

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• Rolfe, H., Crowley, Theresa, (2008), Work-related learning for an innovation nation, Publisher: NESTA, London, ISBN 978-1-84875-025-8

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• Rolfe, H., Crowley, T., (2008), Work-related learning for an innovation nation, Publisher: NESTA, London,

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• Taylor, C., (forthcoming), A Macroeconomic Regime for the 21st Century: Towards a New Economic Order, Publisher: Routledge, Taylor & Francis Group, ISBN 978-0-415-59898-9

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• van de Ven, J., Weale, M., (forthcoming), A General Equilibrium of Annuity Rates in the Presence of Aggregate Mortality Risk, Uncertain Demographics and Fiscal Sustainability, Edited by: Alho, J.H., Hougaard J., and Lassila, J., Publisher: Cambridge University Press, Cambridge,

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DISCUSSION PAPERS

• Dp. 302 - (Jan 2008) Annuities and Aggregate Mortality Risk, van de Ven, J., Weale, M.,

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• Dp. 303 - (Jan 2008) Combining Forecast Densities from VARs with Uncertain Instabilities, Mitchell, J., Jore, A. S., Vahey, S. P.,

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• Dp. 304 - (Feb 2008) CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDICES AND SHORT-TERM FORECASTING OF CONSUMPTION, Al-Eyd, A., Barrell, R., Davis, E.,

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• Dp. 305 - (Jan 2008) Monetary Policy, Beliefs, Unemployment and Inflation; Evidence from the UK, S.G.B. Henry,

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• Dp. 306 - (Feb 2008) Sectoral growth in the European Union: An overview of output and input trends, O'Mahony, M., Rincon-Aznar, A., Robinson, C.,

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• Dp. 307 - (Feb 2008) Productivity growth in the US and the EU?:, O'Mahony, M., Rincon-Aznar, A., Robinson, C.,

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• Dp. 308 - (Mar 2008) Ambition versus Gradualism in Disinflation Horizons under Bounded Rationality: The Case of Chile, Al-Eyd, A., Meral Karasulu,

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• Dp. 309 - (Apr 2008) Unsecured Indebtedness in the United Kingdom — implications from a rational agent model, van de Ven, J., Weale, M.,

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• Dp. 310 - (Apr 2008) The Influence of Unsecured Debt on Consumer Responses to an Adverse Labour Market Shock — implications from a rational agent model, van de Ven, J., Weale, M.,

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• Dp. 311 - (Apr 2008) Are we living beyond our means? A comparison of France, Italy, Spain and the United Kingdom, Khoman, E., Weale, M.,

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• Dp. 313 - (Jun 2008) Financial crises, regulation and growth, Barrell, R., Hurst, I., Kirby, S.,

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• Dp. 314 - (Apr 2008) The impact of EMU on growth in Europe, Barrell, R., Holland, D., Liadze, I., Pomerantz, O., Gottschalk, S., Khoman, E.,

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• Dp. 315 - (Jul 2008) From Industrial Relations to Human Resource Management: The Changing Role of the Personnel Function, Guest, D. and Bryson, A.,

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• Dp. 316 - (Jul 2008) Conflict at Work: The Pattern of Disputes in Britain since 1980, Forth, J., Dix, G., Sisson, K.,

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• Dp. 317 - (Jul 2008) Workplace Employee Representatives, 1980-2004, Forth, J., Charlwood, A.,

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• Dp. 320 - (Aug 2008) Evaluating Density Forecasts: Forecast Combinations, Model Mixtures, Calibration and Sharpness, Mitchell, J., Wallis, K.F.,

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• Dp. 322 - (Aug 2008) Mortality Risk and Pricing of Annuities, van de Ven, J., Weale, M.,

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• Dp. 323 - (Sep 2008) Qualitative Business Surveys: Signal or Noise?, Lui, S., Mitchell, J., Weale, M.,

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• Dp. 373 - Regulation and Economic Performance: A literature review, Rincon-Aznar, A., Nicholas Graf, Iain Paterson, Wolfgang Schwarzbauer, Canan YildirimStan Siebert, Richard Sellner,,

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REPORTS

• Cappon, P., Duke, C., Hasan, A., Meissner, W., Thornhill, D., Metcalf, H., Thematic Review of Tertiary Education, Country Note: Croatia., (forthcoming), Report to: OECD

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• Bewley, H., Dorsett, R., Riccio, J. A., Cambell-Barr, V., Hamilton, G. Hoggart, L., Marsh, A., Miller, C., Ray, K., Vegeris,, Implementation and second-year impacts for lone parents in the UK Employment Retention and Advancement (ERA) demonstration, (Mar 2008), Report to: Department for Work and Pensions, No. 489

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• Bewley, H., Dorsett, R., Salis, S., The impact of Pathways on benefit receipt in the expansion areas, (Dec 2008), Report to: Department for Work and Pension 552

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• Bewley, H., Dorsett, R., Miller, C., Campbell-Barr, V., Hamilton, G., Hoggart, L., Homonoff, T., Marsh, A., Ray, K., Riccio,, Implementation and second-year impacts for New Deal 25 Plus customers in the UK Employment Retention and Advancement (ERA) demonstration, (Aug 2008), Report to: Department for Work and Pensions, No. 520

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• Bewley, H., Dorsett, R., Ratto, M., Evidence on the effect of Pathways to Work on existing claimants, (May 2008), Report to: Department for Work and Pensions, No. 488

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• Dorsett, R., Pathways to Work for new and repeat incapacity benefits claimants: evaluation synthesis report, (Oct 2008), Report to: Department for Work and Pensions Research Report 525

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• Dorsett, R., Smeaton, D., Mandating Intensive Activity Period for jobseekers aged 50+: final report of the quantitative evaluation, (Jul 2008), Report to: Department for Work and Pensions Research Report 500

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• Forth, J., Purdon, S., Hales, J., O\'Connor, W., Webster, S., Methodological Review of Research with Large Businesses, (Dec 2008), Report to: HMRC Research Report No. 60

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• Forth, J., Stokes, L., Employers Pension Provision Survey 2007, (Dec 2008), Report to: Department for Work and Pensions, Research Report No. 545

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• Forth, J., G. Brownlow, P. Shirlow, K. McEvoy, A Review of the Economic Costs of the Conflict in Northern Ireland, (forthcoming), Report to: Home Office

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• Forth, J., Rincon-Aznar, A., Equal opportunities, employee attitudes and workplace performance: findings from WERS 1998, (), Report to: Employment relations research series No 38, Department for Business Enterprise and Regulatory Reform

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• Hopkin, R., Sharp, J., National Primary Science Survey (England) in-service training audit, (Jan 2008), Report to: Wellcome Trust

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• Mason, G., Osborne, M., Productivity, capital-intensity and labour quality at sector level in New Zealand and the UK, (), Report to: Wellington: New Zealand Treasury. Working Paper 07/01

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• Mason, G., O'Leary, B., O'Mahony, M., Robinson, C., Cross-country productivity performance at sector level: the UK compared with the US, France and Germany, (), Report to: Occasional Paper No. 1, London: Department of Business, Enterprise and Regulatory Reform (BERR)

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• Metcalf, H., Nadeem, S., Rolfe, H., Case studies into the recruitment, retention and progression of Black and Minority Ethnic staff: lessons for the Criminal Justice System, (forthcoming), Report to: Office for Criminal Justice Reform (Race Equality Unit)

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• Riley, R., Metcalf, H., Forth, J., The business case for Equal Opportunities: An econometric investigation, (Apr 2008), Report to: Department for Work and Pensions, Research Report No. 483

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• Rosazza Bondibene, C., Dolton, P., Wadsworth, J., The Geography of the National Minimum Wage, (), Report to: Low Pay Commission

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• Weale, M., The Average Earnings Index and Average Weekly Earnings, (Jul 2008), Report to: National Statistician

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CONFERENCE / SEMINAR PRESENTATIONS

• Bewley, H., Evaluating Welfare to Work: Pathways to Work, (Jul 2008), DWP Special Session at the Annual Work Pension and Labour Economics Study Group (WPEG) Conference, University of Sheffield.

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• Bryson, A., A Quarter Century of WIRS/WERS, (Nov 2008), Presentation at Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg

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• Bryson, A., Blanchflower, David. G., Union Decline in Britain, (Dec 2008), This paper investigates the demise of unionisation in British private sector workplaces over the last quarter century. We show that dramatic union decline has occurred across all types of workplace. Although the union wage premium persists it is quite small in 2004. Negative union effects on employment growth and financial performance are largely confined to the 1980s. Managerial perceptions of the climate of relations between managers and workers has deteriorated since the
  early 1980s across the whole private sector, whether the workplace is unionised or not.

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• Bryson, A., Dale-Olsen, H., a tale of two countries: unions, closure and growth in Britain and Norway, (Mar 2008), Using linked private sector employer-employee panel data for Britain and Norway we explore the effects of unionization on workplace closure and employment growth over the period 1997-2004. Unions prolonged the life of low-wage workplaces in Britain, whereas Norwegian unions increased (reduced) closure hazards in high (low) waged workplaces. Contrary to earlier studies, unions had no effect on workplace growth in Britain. In Norway, union workplaces experienced 4 percent per annum lower growth. However, the estimation of a dynamic panel data model for Norway indicates positive long-term causal effects of union density on employment

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• Bryson, A., Freeman, R., Worker Well-being: what we know from non-experimental survey data and what we need to know with new measures and experimental data, (Oct 2008), The role of the workplace and workplace policies/practices in worker well-being

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• Bryson, A., Guest, David, The Changing Role of the Personnel Function, (Dec 2008), The evidence from 25 years of the Workplace Employment Relations Surveys shows
  that a growing number of workplaces have a personnel specialist in place and that an
  increasing proportion of these specialists have relevant qualifications. Personnel
  management is becoming more embedded and more professionalised. It is reasonable
  to assume that personnel specialists are hired to apply contemporary best practice and
  thereby, perhaps indirectly, to improve performance. Our analysis fails to support this
  assumption. Personnel specialists are more likely to be associated with traditional
  industrial relations practices rather than human resource practices. Yet, on the basis
  of ratings that they have provided, where more human resource practices are in place,
  performance is more highly rated. Moreover, where personnel specialists are present,
  including qualified specialists, performance tends, if anything, to be poorer.

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• Hopkin, R., Associations between birth-to-three pre-school and early cognitive development., (May 2008), Paper presented at the University of Exeter Student Educational Research Conference.

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• Lui, S., Mitchell, J., Weale, M., Business surveys: signal or noise?, (Mar 2008), Seminar organised as part of the ESRC Festival of Social Science 2008. Confederation of British Industry, London (10 March 2008)

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• Lui, S., Mitchell, J., Weale, M., Qualitative business surveys: signal or noise?, (May 2008), Presentation at the ONS's National Statistics Methodology Advisory Committee (NSMAC), ONS, London (13 May 2008)

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• Lui, S., Mitchell, J., Weale, M., Qualitative Business Surveys: Signal or Noise?, (Sep 2008), Presented at the Money, Macro and Finance Group 40th Annual Conference, Birkbeck College, London University (10-12 September 2008); Bank of England seminar (14 November 2008)

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• Mason, G., The impact of skills on relative productivity performance at national level: exploring channels of influence, (Dec 2008), Keynote speech, Conference on Labour, Employment and Work, Wellington, New Zealand

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• Metcalf, H., Causes of insecure low paid jobs, (Jul 2008), TUC/BERR Vulnerable Workers Project Seminar, Lessons and Opportunities for Unions. Congress House, London

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• Mitchell, J., Flash estimates, (Apr 2008), 4th meeting of the network on "Flash estimates of certain PEEIs", Eurostat, Luxembourg (22nd April, 2008)

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• Mitchell, J., Mouratidis, K., Weale, M., Flash and Factor-based Nowcasts of Euro-Area GDP Growth, (Jun 2008), 28th Annual International Symposium on Forecasting, Nice, France (22-25 June 2008)

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• Mitchell, J., A.S. Jore and S.P. Vahey, Combining fan-charts: improving real-time forecasts for US inflation and output growth, (May 2008), Economics Seminar, Leeds University (14 May, 2008)

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• Mitchell, J., Jore, A. S., Vahey, S. P., Combining fan-charts: improving real-time forecasts for US inflation and output growth, (Mar 2008), Seminar, School of Economics, Birkbeck College, University of London (6 March 2008)

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• Mitchell, J., Jore, A. S., Vahey, S. P., Combining forecast densities from VARs with uncertain instabilities, (Jun 2008), 3rd Annual CIRANO Workshop on Data Revision in Macroeconomic Forecasting and Policy, Montreal, Canada (5-6 October 2007); 28th Annual International Symposium on Forecasting, Nice, France (22-25 June 2008); Eurostat 5th Colloquium on Modern Tools for Business Cycle Analysis, Luxembourg (29 September – 1 October 2008)

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• Mitchell, J., Wallis, K.F., Evaluating Density Forecasts: Forecast Combinations, Model Mixtures, Calibration and Sharpness, (Dec 2008), RBNZ and BIS "Nowcasting with model combination workshop", Reserve Bank of New Zealand (11-12 December 2008)

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• Stokes, L., Financial Performance Data in WERS 2004, (Dec 2008), Presented at the European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working Conditions, Workshop on linking of data from an establishment survey with data from registers

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• van de Ven, J., Weale, M., Aggregate Mortality Risk and the Annuity Market, (Jan 2008), Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research

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• van de Ven, J., Weale, M., Unsecured Indebtedness in the UK, (Mar 2008), Ministerial Seminar Series Department for Work and Pensions

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• van de Ven, J., Modelling Dynamic Behaviour in an Uncertain World, (Mar 2008), Department for Work and Pensions modelling seminar

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• Weale, M., Savings, Wealth and Work, (Feb 2008), Options for Britain Conference. Nuffield College. Oxford

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• Weale, M., Aggregate Mortality Risk and the Annuity Market, (Feb 2008), Exeter University

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• Weale, M., Saving for an Ageing Population, (Mar 2008), DG-ECFin. Brussels

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• Weale, M., Are we Living beyond our Means, (Mar 2008), Peston Lecture. Queen Mary College

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• Weale, M., Aggregate Mortality Risk: Mountains out of Molehills, (Jun 2008), FIRM Conference. The Actuarial Profession. Manchester

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• Weale, M., Living beyond our Means?, (Aug 2008), Seminar Presented to BERR

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• Weale, M., Structural VAR-based Estimates of the Output Gap, (Dec 2008), Eurostat Working Group Meeting

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MEDIA INTERVIEWS (TV & RADIO) AND NEWSPAPER ARTICLES

• The UK Economy, Nippon Television, (Jan 2008)

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• World at One: Public Sector Pay., BBC, (Jan 2008)

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• News24: Profit Warnings, BBC, (Jan 2008)

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• Channel 4 News: House Prices, Channel 4, (Jan 2008)

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• World tonight. Exchange Rate, Radio 4, (Jan 2008)

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• Channel Four News. Economy, Channel 4, (Jan 2008)

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• Societe Generale, (Jan 2008)

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• House Prices: Newsnight, BBC, (Apr 2008)

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• Growth Forecasts: News24, BBC, (Apr 2008)

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• House Brices; Moneybox Radio 4, (Apr 2008)

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• Credit Controls. Today Programme, Radio 4, (May 2008)

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• Bankruptcy, Channel 4, (May 2008)

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• More or Less, BBC, (May 2008)

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• Bradford and Bingley, BBC, (Jun 2008)

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• Interest Rate Decision, Bloomberg, (Jun 2008)

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• Today: Public Sector Pay, Radio 4, (Jun 2008)

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• Retail Sales, Channel 4, (Jun 2008)

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• The impact of inflation. BBC Radio Cambridgeshire: Sunday Supplement, BBC, (Jun 2008)

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• Public sector pay and inflation. BBC Radio Scotland: Scotland Live, BBC, (Jun 2008)

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• Monthly GDP, Bloomberg, (Jul 2008)

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• The UK Economy, BBC, (Jul 2008)

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• The UK Economy, Channel 4, (Jul 2008)

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• UK Economic Prospects, Radio 4, (Jul 2008)

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• The UK Forecast, Bloomberg, (Jul 2008)

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• The UK Forecast, Channel 4, (Jul 2008)

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• Northern Rock, BBC, (Aug 2008)

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• GDP> BBC News24, BBC, (Aug 2008)

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• GDP BBC1 News, BBC, (Aug 2008)

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• GDP: World at One, BBC, (Aug 2008)

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• GDP. PM, BBC, (Aug 2008)

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• The Credit Crunch, Radio 4, (Sep 2008)

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• The EU Summit, Channel 4, (Oct 2008)

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• State of the Economy, Channel 4, (Oct 2008)

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• Bank Bailout, Channel 4, (Oct 2008)

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• Bank Bailout, BBC, (Oct 2008)

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• Economists\' Verdict: Trouble Ahead, Financial Times, (Oct 2008)

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• The World This Weekend, Radio 4, (Oct 2008)

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• Banking Crisis: Radio Kent, BBC, (Oct 2008)

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• Keynesian Reflation, ITV, (Oct 2008)

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• UK Forecast: Today Programme, Radio 4, (Oct 2008)

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• BBC News: Uk Forecast, BBC, (Oct 2008)

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• UK Forecast, Sky, (Oct 2008)

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• The Recession in the UK and US, (Oct 2008)

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• The UK Economy, Channel 4, (Oct 2008)

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• The fall in the pound's impact on the consumer, Sky, (Oct 2008)

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• Union wage bargaining and recession, BBC, (Oct 2008)

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• UK recession compared to previous downturns, Channel 4, (Oct 2008)

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• Outlook for the UK economy, BBC, (Oct 2008)

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• UK recession: how long will it last?, Sky, (Oct 2008)

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• Recap of the economic news this week, BBC, (Oct 2008)

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• Newsnight, BBC, (Oct 2008)

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• Outlook for the global economy, BBC, (Nov 2008)

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• Monthly GDP, (Nov 2008)

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• The outlook for UK unemployment, Radio Five, (Nov 2008)

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• The Budget, Business News Network, (Nov 2008)

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• GDP Figures, BBC, (Dec 2008)

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• Economic Propsects. World at One, Radio 4, (Dec 2008)

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NIESR PRESS RELEASES

• Is a \'one size fits all EMU\' suitable for the UK, (Dec 2008),

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• Barrell, R., Gottschalk, S., Juselius, J., French economy on hold: no recession but no acceleration either, (Jan 2008),

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• Barrell, R., Kirby, S., After the dust has settled, (Sep 2008),

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• Barrell, R., Stankov, G., Comments on Conservative Plan for Fiscal Responsibility, (Sep 2008),

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• Barrell, R., Stankov, G., National Institute Economic Review – No. 206 October 2008, (Oct 2008),

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• Barrell, R., Stankov, G., THE GREAT CRASH OF 2008, (Oct 2008),

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• Barrell, R., Fic, T., Liadze, I., Fiscal policy and the PBR, (Nov 2008),

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• Barrell, R., Holland, D., Kirby, S., Stankov, G., Euroframe Autumn 08, (Nov 2008),

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• Barrell, R., Holland, D., Kirby, S., Stankov, G., National Institute Forecast for the UK Economy, (Nov 2008),

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• Barrell, R., Stankov, G., Fiscal policy and the PBR, (Nov 2008),

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• Barrell, R., Kirby, S., Weale, M., Stankov, G., Little Shelter from the Blizzard in the Pre-Budget Report, (Nov 2008),

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• Barrell, R., Fiscal policy coordination in Europe, (Dec 2008),

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• Barrell, R., Fiscal policy and the Financial Crisis in Europe – the German position, (Dec 2008),

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• Holland, D., Barrell, R., Juselius, J., Launch of National Institute Economic Review No.204, (Apr 2008),

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• Juselius, J., Launch of National Institute Economic Review, (Apr 2008),

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• Kirby, S., Weale, M., December 2007 Estimates of Monthly GDP, (Jan 2008),

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• Pomerantz, O., No recession in the US output forecast, as growth buoyed by business investment and exports, (Jan 2008),

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• Stankov, G., Sally Webster, The Annual Peston Lecture, (Mar 2008),

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• Stankov, G., National Institute Economic Review No.205, (Jul 2008),

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• Stankov, G., NIESR Press Release, NIER No.205 July 2008, The German economy, The French economy, The US economy, (Jul 2008),

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• Stankov, G., August 2008 Estimates of Monthly GDP, (Sep 2008),

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• Weale, M., Barrell, R., Holland, D., Mitchell, J., Pomerantz, O., January issue of Economic Review, (Jan 2008),

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• Weale, M., January 2008 Estimates of Monthly GDP, (Feb 2008),

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• Weale, M., February 2008 Estimates of Monthly GDP, (Mar 2008),

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• Weale, M., Are we Living beyond our Means?, (Mar 2008),

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• Weale, M., March 2008 Estimates of Monthly GDP, (Apr 2008),

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• Weale, M., April 2008 Estimates of Monthly GDP, (May 2008),

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• Weale, M., May2008 Estimates of Monthly GDP, (Jun 2008),

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• Weale, M., June 2008 Estimates of Monthly GDP, (Jul 2008),

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• Weale, M., Bank rate decision, (Sep 2008),

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• Weale, M., Stankov, G., September 2008 Estimates of Monthly GDP, (Oct 2008),

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• Weale, M., Barrell, R., Stankov, G., NIESR Press Release 8 October 2008, (Oct 2008),

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• Weale, M., Stankov, G., The Policy Framework, (Oct 2008),

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• Weale, M., Stankov, G., October 2008 Estimates of Monthly GDP, (Nov 2008),

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• Weale, M., Stankov, G., November 2008 Estimates of Monthly GDP, (Dec 2008),

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OTHER ACTIVITIES

• , (forthcoming),

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• Barrell, R., Riley, R., Fitzgerald, J., EU enlargement and migration: Assessing the macroeconomic impacts, (forthcoming),

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• Barrell, R., Holland, D., Liadze, I., Pomerantz, O., Volatility, Growth and Cycles, (forthcoming),

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• Barrell, R., Holland, D., Liadze, I., Pomerantz, O., EMU and its impact on growth and employment, (Oct 2008),

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• Barrell, R., Kirby, S., The budgetary implications of global shocks to cycles and trends in output, (Oct 2008),

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• Bryson, A., Freeman, R. B., Does Shared Capitalism Work in the UK?, (Sep 2008),

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• Bryson, A., Blanchflower, D. G., The end of trade unionism as we know it?, (Oct 2008),

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• Bryson, A., Freeman, R. B., Does Shared Capitalism Work?, (Nov 2008),

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• Bryson, A., Freeman, R. B., Does shared capitalism work?, (Dec 2008),

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• Bryson, A., Forth, J., Brown, W. and Whitfield, K., Evolution of the Modern Workplace, (Dec 2008),

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• Forth, J., Rincon-Aznar, A., Equal Opportunities, Employee Attitudes and Workplace Performance, (Mar 2008),

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• Forth, J., The Analysis of Change using WERS, (Jun 2008),

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• Kirby, S., Weale, M., December 2007 Estimates of Monthly GDP, (Jan 2008),

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• Kirby, S., If Darling wants to be 'Mr Prudence' then now's the time to change the rules, (Mar 2008),

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• Kirby, S., Mitchell, J., Riley, R., Memorandum in The Economic Impact of Immigration, Select Committee on Economic Affairs, House of Lords, HL Paper 82-II, (Mar 2008),

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• Kirby, S., Evidence to the Treasury Select Committee on 2008 Pre-Budget Report, (Dec 2008),

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• Weale, M., January 2008 Estimates of Monthly GDP, (Feb 2008),

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• Weale, M., February 2008 Estimates of Monthly GDP, (Mar 2008),

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• Weale, M., March 2008 Estimates of Monthly GDP, (Apr 2008),

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• Weale, M., April 2008 Estimates of Monthly GDP, (May 2008),

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• Weale, M., May2008 Estimates of Monthly GDP, (Jun 2008),

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• Weale, M., June 2008 Estimates of Monthly GDP, (Jul 2008),

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• Weale, M., July 2008 Estimates of Monthly GDP, (Aug 2008),

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• Weale, M., August 2008 Estimates of Monthly GDP, (Sep 2008),

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• Weale, M., September 2008 Estimates of Monthly GDP, (Oct 2008),

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• Weale, M., October 2008 Estimates of Monthly GDP, (Nov 2008),

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• Weale, M., November 2008 Estimates of Monthly GDP, (Dec 2008),

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