Dr Arno Hantzsche
Arno no longer works at NIESR
Arno is a member of the Macroeconomic Modelling and Forecasting team. His interest lies in empirical macroeconomics and his research focuses on sovereign credit risk, fiscal policy, labour market dynamics and the economics and politics of the European Monetary Union.
2017 – PhD in Economics, University of Nottingham
2012 – Msc in Economics and International Economics, University of Nottingham
2011 – BA in Political Science and Economics, Universities of Muenster (Germany) and Bergen (Norway)
Arno joined NIESR in 2017. He has previously worked at the European Stability Mechanism, the European Central Bank, DIW econ Berlin, HWWI Hamburg, Deutsche Bank Research, the European Commission, and the State Chancellery of Saxony.
https://econpapers.repec.org/RAS/pha1106.htm
For publications and additional information see also personal webpage: https://sites.google.com/site/arnohantzsche/home
Research Interests
Arno no longer works at NIESR
Arno is a member of the Macroeconomic Modelling and Forecasting team. His interest lies in empirical macroeconomics and his research focuses on sovereign credit risk, fiscal policy, labour market dynamics and the economics and politics of the European Monetary Union.
Education
2017 – PhD in Economics, University of Nottingham
2012 – Msc in Economics and International Economics, University of Nottingham
2011 – BA in Political Science and Economics, Universities of Muenster (Germany) and Bergen (Norway)
Employment
Arno joined NIESR in 2017. He has previously worked at the European Stability Mechanism, the European Central Bank, DIW econ Berlin, HWWI Hamburg, Deutsche Bank Research, the European Commission, and the State Chancellery of Saxony.
Additional Information
https://econpapers.repec.org/RAS/pha1106.htm
For publications and additional information see also personal webpage: https://sites.google.com/site/arnohantzsche/home
Publications
Discussion Papers
Financing Higher Education in England: The Fiscal Implications of Reform
15 Aug 2022
Discussion Papers
Understanding and Confronting Uncertainty: Revisions to UK Government Expenditure Plans
22 Oct 2018
Discussion Papers
Economic Outlooks
Investment in ‘Global Britain’ – gain, retain … or risk economic pain?
17 Jul 2019
UK Economic Outlook Box Analysis
Structural changes in UK sectoral labour markets and their macroeconomic implications
25 Jan 2019
UK Economic Outlook Box Analysis
The War on Trade: Beggar Thy Neighbour – Beggar Thyself?
02 May 2018
Global Economic Outlook Box Analysis
Quantitative Tightening in the Eurozone?
24 Jan 2018
Global Economic Outlook Box Analysis
Lifting the cap? The importance of interactions between public and private sector wage growth in the UK
19 Oct 2017
UK Economic Outlook Box Analysis
National Institute Economic Review
The economic impact of Prime Minister Johnson’s New Brexit Deal
30 Oct 2019
National Institute Economic Review
Prospects for the UK economy: Forecast Summary
25 Apr 2019
National Institute Economic Review
Using NiGEM in uncertain times: Introduction and overview of NiGEM
04 May 2018
National Institute Economic Review
Commentary – Light at the end of the fiscal tunnel?
04 May 2018
National Institute Economic Review
Policy Papers
Policy, Budgets, & Fiscal Events
The Macroeconomics of Parties’ Tax and Spending Plans
06 Dec 2019
General Election Briefing
NIESR Briefing: Industry and Regional Effects of a No-Deal Brexit
12 Sep 2019
Topical Briefing
Research Report
The Dynamics of Public and Private Sector Wages, Pay Settlements and Employment
02 Mar 2020
Research Report
The economic impact on the United Kingdom of a customs union deal with the European Union
08 May 2019
Research Report
The Economic Effects of the Government’s proposed Brexit Deal
26 Nov 2018
Research Report
Trackers
Blog Posts
Why we stand by our assessment of a £70bn Brexit impact
Arno Hantzsche
Phil Thornton
Garry Young
14 Nov 2019
5 min read
What would lead us to revise our Brexit impact estimates? It’s the politics, stupid …
Arno Hantzsche
25 Sep 2019
6 min read
Why the Chancellor will not meet the fiscal mandate
Arno Hantzsche
Garry Young
16 Aug 2019
4 min read
Nothing has changed: No deal does not look to be a good deal
Arno Hantzsche
29 May 2019
6 min read
A weaker global outlook and chronic Brexit uncertainty mean that the MPC should now sit on its hands
Arno Hantzsche
26 Apr 2019
4 min read
Turning minutes into measures – Text-mining MPC communication
Arno Hantzsche
Sathya Mellina
01 Nov 2018
3 min read
How much would a ‘White Paper Brexit’ cost the UK economy?
Arno Hantzsche
Amit Kara
Cyrille Lenoel
Rebecca Piggott
01 Aug 2018
8 min read
Euro area reform: implications for long-term interest rates
Arno Hantzsche
19 Dec 2017
4 min read