Blog: March 2016
The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) published their macroeconomic forecast today. The outlook is one of continued, albeit moderate, economic growth but more subdued than in their November 2015 forecast. This implies the OBR expect the nation to be around 1½ per cent poorer than they had previously thought by the end of this Parliamentary term. The bulk of the downgrade is explained by domestic factors: a downward revision to potential productivity growth and investment volumes.
Today – after much chivvying by the UK Statistics Authority – DWP have finally replied to my Freedom of Information Request of December 4th last year. This simply asked them to explain some of the assumptions they’d made to get to the Prime Minister’s deeply dubious assertion that
We now know that, at any one time, around 40 percent of all recent European Economic Area migrants are supported by the UK benefits system