Blogs

The NIESR blog is a forum for Institute research staff to provide an informed, independent view on current economic issues and recent NIESR research. The views expressed here are those of the authors, and are not necessarily those of the Institute.

Posted: 5 March, 2021 - 13:30

The theme for International Women’s Day (IWD) 2021 is #ChooseToChallenge, asking us to “Celebrate women's achievement. Raise awareness against bias. Take action for equality.”.

To celebrate IWD at the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR), we are publishing a series of Q&A blogs written by women at NIESR to explore various topics to celebrate their achievements, including the challenges and barriers they have overcome. We hope these blogs raise awareness against bias and encourage us all to take action for equality.

 

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Prof Diane Coyle

Posted: 5 March, 2021 - 13:16

The theme for International Women’s Day (IWD) 2021 is #ChooseToChallenge, asking us to “Celebrate women's achievement. Raise awareness against bias. Take action for equality.”.

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Dr Larissa Marioni

Posted: 5 March, 2021 - 13:03

The theme for International Women’s Day (IWD) 2021 is #ChooseToChallenge, asking us to “Celebrate women's achievement. Raise awareness against bias. Take action for equality.”.

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Janine Boshoff

Posted: 5 March, 2021 - 11:21

The theme for International Women’s Day (IWD) 2021 is #ChooseToChallenge, asking us to “Celebrate women's achievement. Raise awareness against bias. Take action for equality.”.

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Prof Huw Dixon

Posted: 17 February, 2021 - 12:45

The CPILW rose slightly from 0.8% in December to 0.9% in January.  The CPIH measure of inflation also increased from 0.8% in November 2020 to 0.9% in December. Both measures indicate a slight increase in inflation in January. 

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Dr Lei Xu

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Dr Chiara Manzoni

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Johnny Runge

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Dr Richard Dorsett

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Lucy Stokes

Posted: 15 February, 2021 - 17:27

The Covid-19 pandemic has served to further highlight the vital contribution of schools in society, not just with respect to learning and education, but also the much broader role they play in children and young people’s lives.

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Alessio D’Angelo

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Dr Chiara Manzoni

Posted: 1 February, 2021 - 13:30

This blog was first published by Social Policy Association

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Prof Huw Dixon

Posted: 20 January, 2021 - 11:31

This blog is written by NIESR Fellow Huw Dixon. Any opinions expressed in the paper are those of the author, and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Institute

 

Summary

The CPILW rose slightly from 0.7% in November to 0.8% in December.  The CPIH measure of inflation also increased from 0.6% in November 2020 to 0.8% in December. Both measures indicate an increase in inflation in December.

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Sarah Compton

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Katrina D'Apice

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Louise Tracey

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Sara Bonetti

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Dr Claudine Bowyer-Crane

Posted: 11 January, 2021 - 12:45

 

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Prof Huw Dixon

Posted: 16 December, 2020 - 11:42

This blog is written by NIESR Fellow Huw Dixon. Any opinions expressed in the paper are those of the author, and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Institute

 

Summary

The CPILW fell slightly from 0.9% in October to 0.7% in November.  The CPIH measure of inflation also decreased from 0.9% in October 2020 to 0.6% in November. Both measures indicate a fall in inflation in November.

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Amit Kara

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Iana Liadze

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Dr Ian Hurst

Posted: 14 December, 2020 - 16:47

Global warming is likely to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme or abnormal weather events (Herring et al, 2018, NASEM, 2016). In this note, we quantify the uncertainty of GDP outcomes resulting from abnormal weather events, considering both the initial destruction that is caused by the event as well as the boost to activity from the subsequent rebuild.

 

We deploy our global macroeconometric model, NiGEM, which specifically allows for spillover effects from one economy to another. Our analysis shows that extreme weather events cause economic volatility and that spillovers magnify the effects of these events. We show that these spillovers are particularly important for small open economies that are densely populated.

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Sara Bonetti

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Dr Claudine Bowyer-Crane

Posted: 12 November, 2020 - 16:30

New guidance from Public Health England provides more evidence of the interconnected nature of health, care and education, and of the fundamental role early years practitioners play in supporting young children’s speech, language and communication development.  But with the early years sector struggling to survive in the wake of the pandemic, many children may miss out on this much needed support.  Where is the support for the early years sector?

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Prof Huw Dixon

Posted: 26 October, 2020 - 07:49

This blog is written by NIESR Fellow Huw Dixon. Any opinions expressed in the paper are those of the author, and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Institute

 

 

Summary

The CPIH measure of inflation has increased to 0.7% in September 2020, from its August level of 0.5%. The CPILW decreased slightly to 0.9% from the August value of 1.0%.

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Louise Tracey

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Sara Bonetti

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Dr Claudine Bowyer-Crane

Posted: 16 October, 2020 - 11:10

 

Starting school is a significant developmental milestone that can cause anxiety at the best of times.  So, what impact will the global pandemic have on school starters this year?

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Dr Corrado Macchiarelli

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Sathya Mellina

Posted: 12 October, 2020 - 16:16

The outcome of the Brexit referendum caught financial markets by surprise, resulting in sharp moves in market prices. But what do those moves tell us about the underlying economic impacts? 

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Megan Dixon

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Rob Newton

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Dr Silke Fricke

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Dr Claudine Bowyer-Crane

Posted: 12 October, 2020 - 09:54

Many professionals within the early years sector are understandably angry at the government’s record around the early years given its crucial importance in children’s life.  These include issues around insufficient funding, the development of new frameworks without genuine sector consultation and the lack of focus on supporting pre-school settings.  We are concerned that this frustration has led to misunderstandings being widely shared about a programme designed to support early language skills, and this may prove harmful for supporting informed decision making.

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Prof Huw Dixon

Posted: 16 September, 2020 - 14:18

This blog is written by NIESR Fellow Huw Dixon. Any opinions expressed in the paper are those of the author, and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Institute

 

Summary

The CPIH measure of inflation has decreased to 0.5% in August 2020, from its July level of 1.1%. The CPILW fell by less, with an August value of 1.0% down from the previous month 1.2%. 

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Dr Corrado Macchiarelli

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Cyrille Lenoel

Posted: 10 September, 2020 - 12:19

The COVID-19 pandemic has the potential to have a significant impact on medium-run inflation expectations particularly if considered in conjunction with large fiscal stimuli, ultra-loose monetary policies and the risk of de-globalization. The recent review of monetary policy framework by the Federal Reserve, focusing on an average inflation target strategy, highlights how difficult it can be to keep inflation expectations well-anchored when secular factors are at play (i.e.

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Prof Huw Dixon

Posted: 19 August, 2020 - 12:09

The CPIH measure of inflation has increased to 1.1% and now the gap between the lockdown measure CPILW of 1.2% is small. The use of pre-pandemic expenditure weights is no longer leading to an under-estimate of inflation.

Inflation is set to increase as the pandemic raises costs in many parts of the economy.  This is unlikely to happen in 2020 as demand will remain low as unemployment and bankruptcies increase in the coming months. 

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