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Topic Hub: Britain After Brexit

Exiting the EU and Britain After Brexit

On 23 June 2016 the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union, and on 31 January 2020 the UK became the first (and so far only) member state to have left the EU. Brexit became a reality. In the period between Prime Minister David Cameron announcing the referendum, the referendum and then the subsequent withdrawal negotiations and transition period, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research examined the economic and social implications of this momentous decision.

Articles from the National Institute Economic Review 252

publication

Brexit and impact routes through global value chains

30 Apr 2020

National Institute Economic Review

Articles from the National Institute Economic Review 250

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Maintaining stable macroeconomic conditions

30 Oct 2019

National Institute Economic Review

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Supporting dynamic economic adjustment

30 Oct 2019

National Institute Economic Review

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Developing trade

30 Oct 2019

National Institute Economic Review

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Developing trade in services

30 Oct 2019

National Institute Economic Review

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Reorienting foreign policy

30 Oct 2019

National Institute Economic Review

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Updating security and defence policy

30 Oct 2019

National Institute Economic Review

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Formulating industrial policy

30 Oct 2019

National Institute Economic Review

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Securing decarbonisation and growth

30 Oct 2019

National Institute Economic Review

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Improving infrastructure

30 Oct 2019

National Institute Economic Review

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Redesigning housing policy

30 Oct 2019

National Institute Economic Review

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Reducing inequalities

30 Oct 2019

National Institute Economic Review

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Effective devolution

30 Oct 2019

National Institute Economic Review

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Improving governance

30 Oct 2019

National Institute Economic Review

Articles from the National Institute Economic Review 248

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Prospects for the UK economy: Forecast Summary

25 Apr 2019

National Institute Economic Review

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Introduction: Challenges for Immigration Policy in Post-Brexit Britain

25 Apr 2019

National Institute Economic Review

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Immigration Policy from Post-War to Post-Brexit: How New Immigration Policy can Reconcile Public Attitudes and Employer Preferences

25 Apr 2019

National Institute Economic Review

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Low-Skilled Employment in a New Immigration Regime: Challenges and Opportunities for Business Transitions

25 Apr 2019

National Institute Economic Review

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Is Employer Sponsorship a Good Way to Manage Labour Migration? Implications for Post-Brexit Migration Policies

25 Apr 2019

National Institute Economic Review

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Youth Mobility Scheme: The Panacea for Ending Free Movement?

25 Apr 2019

National Institute Economic Review

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‘High-Skilled Good, Low-Skilled Bad?’ British, Polish and Romanian Attitudes Towards Low-skilled EU Migration

25 Apr 2019

National Institute Economic Review

Articles from the National Institute Economic Review 247

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Commentary: Breaking the Brexit impasse: achieving a fair, legitimate and democratic outcome

06 Feb 2019

National Institute Economic Review

Articles from the National Institute Economic Review 244

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Measuring the permanent costs of Brexit

04 May 2018

National Institute Economic Review

Articles from the National Institute Economic Review 242

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Commentary: Monetary and fiscal policy normalisation as Brexit is negotiated

01 Nov 2017

National Institute Economic Review

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Brexit and the UK automotive industry

01 Nov 2017

National Institute Economic Review

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Will Brexit raise the cost of living?

01 Nov 2017

National Institute Economic Review

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Local economic effects of Brexit

01 Nov 2017

National Institute Economic Review

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Value added from trade for key business and financial service industries: initial estimates

01 Nov 2017

National Institute Economic Review

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International trade and UK de-industrialisation

01 Nov 2017

National Institute Economic Review

Articles from the National Institute Economic Review 240

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Commentary: The Economic Landscape of the UK

08 May 2017

National Institute Economic Review

Articles from the National Institute Economic Review 239

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Economic Policy and Surveillance in Europe: Introduction

01 Feb 2017

National Institute Economic Review

Articles from the National Institute Economic Review 238

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Commentary: Fiscal policy after the Referendum

28 Oct 2016

National Institute Economic Review

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UK and Europe – what next?

02 Nov 2016

National Institute Economic Review

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Hard or soft? The politics of Brexit

02 Nov 2016

National Institute Economic Review

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Immigration after Brexit

02 Nov 2016

National Institute Economic Review

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Negotiating the UK’s post-Brexit trade arrangements

02 Nov 2016

National Institute Economic Review

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Assessing the impact of trade agreements on trade

02 Nov 2016

National Institute Economic Review

Articles from the National Institute Economic Review 237

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Commentary: The Referendum Blues: shocking the system

03 Aug 2016

National Institute Economic Review

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Immediate financial market movements post-Referendum

28 Jul 2016

Economic Review Preview

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The UK’s decision to leave the EU: the impact on European economies

28 Jul 2016

Economic Review Preview

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Article 50: withdrawing from the EU

26 Jul 2016

Economic Review Preview

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Brexit, Trade, and Gross Value Added

26 Jul 2016

Economic Review Preview

Articles from the National Institute Economic Review 236

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Commentary – The economic consequences of leaving the EU

10 May 2016

National Institute Economic Review

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Britain’s Influence in the EU

10 May 2016

National Institute Economic Review

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Immigration, free movement and the EU referendum

10 May 2016

National Institute Economic Review

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Free movement of services, migration and leaving the EU

10 May 2016

National Institute Economic Review

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EU membership, financial services and stability

10 May 2016

National Institute Economic Review

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The EU budget and UK contribution

10 May 2016

National Institute Economic Review

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The short-term economic impact of leaving the EU

10 May 2016

National Institute Economic Review

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The long-term economic impact of leaving the EU

10 May 2016

National Institute Economic Review

Research Papers

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NIESR Briefing: Industry and Regional Effects of a No-Deal Brexit

12 Sep 2019

Topical Briefing

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Brexit assumptions and alternative scenarios

29 Aug 2019

Economic Review Preview

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NIESR Briefing: Overview of evidence on UK public attitudes to immigration

19 Aug 2019

Topical Briefing

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NIESR Briefing: Overview of evidence on economic impacts of EU immigration

19 Aug 2019

Topical Briefing

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Update: Modelling the short- and long-run impact of Brexit

29 May 2019

NiGEM Observations

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The economic impact on the United Kingdom of a customs union deal with the European Union

08 May 2019

Report

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Economic Impact of the Withdrawal Agreement: Written Evidence to Treasury Committee ahead of the Oral Evidence Session: “The UK’s economic relationship with the European Union” held on 3rd December 2018

03 Dec 2018

Policy Papers

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Garry Young’s speaking note at launch of “The Economic Effects of the Prime Minister’s Brexit Deal” publication

26 Nov 2018

Other

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Post-Brexit Immigration Policy: Reconciling Public Perceptions with Economic Evidence

11 Oct 2018

Report

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Modelling the Economic Effects of Trade Policies – A Submission to the Treasury and International Trade Committees inquiry into implications of the UK’s approach to international trade

11 Jul 2018

Policy Papers

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The OBR’S Approach to Forecasting the Impact of Exiting the European Union – A Submission to the Treasury Committee of the UK Parliament

01 Feb 2018

Policy Papers

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Facing the future: tackling post-Brexit labour and skills shortages

19 Jun 2017

Policy Papers

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Agriculture in the UK

26 May 2017

General Election Briefing

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The Economic Impact of Brexit-induced Reductions in Migration

07 Dec 2016

Report

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Employers’ responses to Brexit: The perspective of employers in low skilled sectors

11 Aug 2016

Report

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Modelling the long-run economic impact of leaving the European Union

20 Jun 2016

Discussion Papers

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Modelling events: The short-term economic impact of leaving the EU

20 Jun 2016

Discussion Papers

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The EU Referendum and Fiscal Impact On Low Income Households

09 Jun 2016

Report

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The Impact of Possible Migration Scenarios after ‘Brexit’ on the State Pension System

02 Jun 2016

Report

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The long-term macroeconomic effects of lower migration to the UK

24 May 2016

Discussion Papers

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The impact of free movement on the labour market: case studies of hospitality, food processing and construction

27 Apr 2016

Report

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Immigration and the UK’s Productivity Challenge

06 Jul 2015

Report

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The Long-Term Economic Impact of Reducing Migration in the UK

05 Aug 2014

National Institute Economic Review

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The economic implications for the United Kingdom of leaving the European Union

05 Nov 2013

National Institute Economic Review

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Migration and productivity: employers’ practices, public attitudes and statistical evidence

05 Nov 2013

Report

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Examining the relationship between immigration and unemployment using National Insurance Number registration data

09 Jan 2012

Discussion Papers

Our Blog Posts

Blog

Bremia: A study of the impact of Brexit on bond prices

Sathya Mellina

Corrado Macchiarelli

4 min read

Blog

Global value chains after COVID-19 and BREXIT: Is it the end of the world as we know it?

Ana Rincon-Aznar

5 min read

Blog

Breaking out of the Doldrums

Jagjit S. Chadha

5 min read

Blog

We forgot about immigration – will this turn out to be a grave mistake?

Johnny Runge

4 min read

Blog

Why we stand by our assessment of a £70bn Brexit impact

Arno Hantzsche

Phil Thornton

Garry Young

5 min read

Blog

Hard Choices: the Political Economy of Trade Policy after Brexit

David Vines

Paul Gretton

5 min read

Blog

The impact of Brexit abroad – any winners?

Arno Hantzsche

7 min read

Blog

What would lead us to revise our Brexit impact estimates? It’s the politics, stupid …

Arno Hantzsche

6 min read

Blog

A Governor for our Brexit times

Jagjit S. Chadha

4 min read

Blog

Freeports, like free lunches, might come with strings attached

Marta Paczos

3 min read

Blog

Boris Johnson could be about to inherit a recession

Jagjit S. Chadha

5 min read

Blog

Nothing has changed: No deal does not look to be a good deal

Arno Hantzsche

6 min read

Blog

EU migration after Brexit: High-skilled good, low-skilled bad?

Alexandra Bulat

5 min read

Blog

Trade policy in the time of Brexit

Marta Paczos

5 min read

Blog

Is Brexit the Antidote to UK Productivity Failure?

Nicholas Crafts

4 min read

Blog

Menu of post-Brexit visas unpalatable to hospitality employers

Heather Rolfe

6 min read

Blog

A vague, much repackaged proposal of dubious practical use – the Immigration White paper is here at last

Heather Rolfe

7 min read

Blog

The UK is losing its appeal to EU migrants and the new restrictions haven’t even been announced

Heather Rolfe

5 min read

Blog

Brexit politics and bond prices

Jagjit S. Chadha

5 min read

Blog

Fewer migrants from the EU also means fewer nurses and doctors

David Nguyen

5 min read

Blog

Brexit risks putting social care on the critical list

Heather Rolfe

6 min read

Blog

People’s perceptions of EU immigration: it’s the economy, stupid!

Johnny Runge

4 min read

Blog

Post-Brexit immigration policy cannot ignore employers’ needs

Heather Rolfe

5 min read

Blog

How much would a ‘White Paper Brexit’ cost the UK economy?

Arno Hantzsche

Amit Kara

Cyrille Lenoel

Rebecca Piggott

8 min read

Blog

There is no such thing as a costless Brexit

Alexandra Dumitru

5 min read

Blog

Deal, or no deal? The £2,000 question

Arno Hantzsche

Amit Kara

9 min read

Blog

The impact of leaving the European Union is clear: what are we going to do about it?

Jagjit S. Chadha

4 min read

Events

NIESR Modellers Conference – The economic consequences of leaving the EU

This conference collects many of the key economic projections of the consequences for the UK of leaving the EU. We will have presentations from NIESR, CEP (LSE), PwC, Oxford Economics, OECD and the Economists for Brexit. Please...

07:45 to 12:00

27 May, 2016

NIESR’s latest research – The EU Referendum and Fiscal Impact On Low Income Households

You are invited to attend a press briefing on Thursday 9th June at which we will present NIESR’s latest research on the impact of leaving the EU on low income...

09:00 to 10:30

9 June, 2016

NIESR’s latest research – Immigration policy after the EU Referendum: economic impacts

You are invited to attend a press conference on Tuesday 24th May at which we will present NIESR’s latest research on migration policy. Immigration and free movement are at the...

09:30 to 10:30

24 May, 2016

Breakfast briefing – Brexit and immigration

Please note this event is by invitation ONLY The UK in a Changing Europe is holding a series of Brexit briefings to analyse the issues arising from the EU referendum and...

07:30 to 09:00

12 October, 2016

Brexit and Trade Choices in Europe and Beyond

The Centre for Economic Policy Research and the National Institute of Economic and Social Research have the pleasure of inviting you to a conference on: Brexit and Trade Choices in Europe...

09:15 to 16:15

7 February, 2018

Brexit following Article 50: Implications for the economy, trade and the negotiation process

Tuesday 25 April 2017, 5.30pm, NIESR Speaker: Prof Jagjit Chadha, Director, NIESR Speaker: Dr Rebecca Harding, CEO, Equant Analytics Speaker: Jacqueline Minor, retiring Head of Representation for the...

16:30 to 18:00

25 April, 2017

Briefing: Economics of Brexit

Please note this event is by invitation ONLY Chair: Anand Menon, Director of the UK in a Changing Europe Speakers: Dr Angus Armstrong, senior fellow UK in a Changing Europe and...

17:00 to 18:30

28 September, 2016

Embassies’ Briefing – Prospects for increasing divergence in growth between the UK and the rest of the world as Brexit is negotiated

The prospect of leaving the European Union seems already to have opened up a gap between growth in the UK and the rest of the OECD. At this...

17:00 to 18:30

15 November, 2017

Immigration policies for construction in a post-Brexit Britain

NIESR is holding a roundtable event for employers on post-Brexit options for immigration policy. We would be very pleased if you could attend. The Leave vote has left many...

17:00 to 20:00

1 December, 2016

Immigration policies for food and drink in a post-Brexit Britain

The Food and Drink Federation (FDF) and the independent research organisation National Institute for Economic and Social Research (NIESR) are holding a joint event on post-Brexit options for immigration...

12:30 to 14:30

6 December, 2016

Immigration policies for food and drink in a post-Brexit Britain

10:00 to 12:30

26 January, 2017

Immigration policies for hospitality in a post-Brexit Britain

How will Brexit impact your ability to employ international workers? Here’s your chance to understand the possible options and have your voice heard. The Leave vote has left many employers...

08:30 to 10:15

31 January, 2017

Brexit Countdown: Scenarios and Consequences

WATCH IT BACK HERE As the countdown to Brexit nears its completion, we are no closer to knowing the final destination. In this joint event by NIESR and...

08:30 to 10:00

6 March, 2019

Jobs: Causes and Consequences of Brexit

Watch the livestream of Session One here Watch the livestream of Session Two here How will Brexit unfold? Economists have warned about the possible negative effects...

09:30 to 13:30

28 March, 2019

Beyond Brexit: a programme for UK reform

Please note attendance is by invitation only This event was live streamed – you can watch the replay here. Regardless of the particular form that Brexit ultimately takes,...

08:30 to 10:00

14 October, 2019

Joint Round Table – How will the proposed new immigration policies affect the hospitality sector?

The Government’s plans for post-Brexit immigration policy are currently being drawn up. The White Paper was published in December and includes proposals to place tight limits on ‘lower skilled’ immigration....

09:00 to 11:00

7 March, 2019

Joint Round Table: How will the proposed new immigration policies affect food and drink manufacturing?

The Government is currently in the midst of its year-long engagement period on future immigration policy. The Immigration White Paper was...

15:00 to 17:30

13 August, 2019

NIESR Embassies Briefing – The economic outlook beyond the parliamentary Brexit impasse

We are delighted to invite you to our next Embassies’ Briefing on Tuesday 14th May at which we will present and discuss analysis associated with NIESR’s...

15:45 to 17:00

14 May, 2019

NIESR Embassies’ Briefing – Brexit: the trade-offs ahead

Embassies’ Briefing Brexit: the trade-offs ahead Date: Wednesday 21 February 2018 Time: 5:00pm Registration and drinks 5.30pm Presentation 6:00pm Q&A 6:30pm Drinks reception Venue: National Institute...

17:15 to 18:30

21 February, 2018

NIESR Embassies’ Briefing – The economic outlook in the last quarterly forecast before Brexit

We are delighted to invite you to our next Embassies’ Briefing on Thursday 7th February at which we will present and discuss analysis associated with NIESR’s quarterly UK...

16:45 to 18:00

7 February, 2019

NIESR and ESCoE Workshop on: ‘Brexit Up Close: Regional and Sectoral Impacts’

Please note that this event is now taking place at the Abbey Centre, 34 Great Smith Street, London, SW1P 3BU. The Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE),...

12:15 to 17:15

6 December, 2017

National Institute Economic Review February 2018 Press Conference – ‘Brexit: the Trade-offs Ahead’

Please note this event is for journalists only You are invited to attend a press conference on Tuesday 6th February at which we will present NIESR’s quarterly UK...

11:00 to 12:00

6 February, 2018

National Institute Economic Review Press Conference – The economic outlook in the last Budget five months before Brexit

Please note this event is for journalists and by invitation only You are invited to attend a press conference on Thursday 25th October at which we...

09:30 to 11:00

25 October, 2018

NIESR/HSBC Seminar Series: Mapping the route to Brexit success

NIESR has partnered with HSBC to run a series of seminars about Britain’s economic future. Please note: attendance is strictly by invitation only. 9 February – Seminar 1 : What next...

18:30 to 17:30

9 February, 2017

NIESR’s latest research: ‘Financial Services after Brexit – What next?’

*PLEASE NOTE THAT THIS EVENT HAS BEEN POSTPONED – NEW DATE TBA* We regret to inform you that due to technical reasons the briefing on Financial Services...

08:00 to 09:00

20 September, 2017

UK After Brexit

Organized by: Angus Armstrong, NIESR and Senior Fellow UK in a Changing Europe Sascha O. Becker, Centre for Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) This...

09:30 to 17:30

9 March, 2017

Post-Brexit Immigration Policy: Reconciling Public Perceptions with Economic Evidence

Please note this is an invitation only event There is...

07:30 to 09:15

11 October, 2018