Press Release: NIESR Monthly Wage Tracker - Sharp Drop in Pay Growth as a Result of Covid-19

Published: 16th June 2020

Sharp Drop in Pay Growth as a Result of Covid-19

Main points

  • The first signs of the COVID-19 impact on the labour market are fewer vacancies, more universal credit claims and lower pay growth.
  • According to new ONS statistics published this morning, UK average weekly earnings expanded by 1.7 per cent excluding bonuses in the three months to April 2020 compared to the year before, and by 1.0 per cent if bonus payments are taken into account.
  • We estimate that nominal earnings growth including bonuses will be negative at -1.1 per cent in the second quarter of 2020 as the downward trend on earnings growth persists in May and June 2020.

As the UK economy progressively exits its lockdown, the effect of the pandemic shock on the labour market and wages is becoming every day more evident. Unemployment is set to increase to more than 10 per cent of the labour force and average weekly earnings are expected to decline.”

Cyrille Lenoel, Senior Economist


Please find the full analysis in the document attached

Notes for editors:

For further information please contact the NIESR Press Office: press [at] niesr.ac.uk / l.pieri [at] niesr.ac.uk / 07930 544631

National Institute of Economic and Social Research
2 Dean Trench Street
Smith Square
London, SW1P 3HE
United Kingdom

Switchboard Telephone Number: 020 7222 7665

Website: http://www.niesr.ac.uk

Press release archive