Skip to main content

HomeNational
Institute of
Economic and
Social Research
National Institute of Economic and Social Research

  • About us
  • Staff
  • Alumni
  • Vacancies
  • Partners
  • Sponsorship
  • Contact
  • Sign up
  • Home
  • Research Programmes
    • Britain & Finance
    • Education & Labour
    • Employment & Social policy
    • Macroeconomics
    • Trade, Investment & Productivity
    • Exiting the EU & Britain after Brexit
  • Publications
  • Blogs
  • Events
  • Media
  • Forecasts
    • Quarterly Forecasts for UK and World Economies
    • Latest GDP tracker
    • Latest Wage Tracker
      • Monthly Wage Tracker - subscribe
      • Monthly Wage Tracker Schedule
    • Latest CPI Tracker
    • Business Conditions Forum
    • National Institute Global Econometric Model (NiGEM)
    • Historical NIESR Forecasts
    • NIESR’s Sovereign Bond Premia Estimates
    • Monthly GDP Estimates - Archive
    • Further Reading
  • NiGEM
  • Economic Crisis: Covid-19
  • Quarterly Forecasts for UK and World Economies
  • Latest GDP tracker
  • Latest Wage Tracker
    • Monthly Wage Tracker - subscribe
    • Monthly Wage Tracker Schedule
  • Latest CPI Tracker
  • Business Conditions Forum
  • National Institute Global Econometric Model (NiGEM)
  • Historical NIESR Forecasts
  • NIESR’s Sovereign Bond Premia Estimates
  • Monthly GDP Estimates - Archive
  • Further Reading

Monthly Wage Tracker - subscribe

The ONS produces an estimate of Average Weekly Earnings (AWE) with a lag of at least 40 days after the end of the reference month. From February 2019 NIESR has been producing and publishing short-term predictions for UK Average Weekly Earnings. As with the GDP Tracker, during some months NIESR will publish predictions of earnings some five months ahead of the ONS data release. NIESR’s new Wage Tracker includes predictions for regular pay and bonus payments for the whole economy, as well as forecasts for private and public sectors wages. The Wage Tracker exploits information from key macroeconomic indicators, including labour market trends, building also on information from monthly GDP nowcasts produced by NIESR’s GDP Tracker and survey evidence, such as labour costs in the manufacturing and service sectors from the Bank of England Agents Score. The wage models also captures the interaction between private and public pay, shown to be relevant in work done by NIESR (Dolton et al. 2018).

The NIESR Wage Tracker is published on the day of the ONS labour market release. The schedule for future releases can be found on the left hand menu, alongside an archive of past estimates.

You can subscribe to receive the WageTracker directly in your inbox below, or use the "Sign up" link in the top menu to see all our subscription options:

Website by White Fuse

  • Login
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms and Conditions
  • rss icon
  • twitter icon
  • facebook icon
  • instagram icon
  • soundcloud icon
  • youtube icon

National Institute of Economic and Social Research

2 Dean Trench Street, Smith Square London, SW1P 3HE United Kingdom

+44 (0) 207 222 7665

Registered Charity #306083

Company no. 341010