Business Conditions Forum Summary

Summary of the NIESR Business Conditions Forum July 2021 - Business survey data: What can the PMI tell us about post-Covid UK recovery and inflation?

Agenda

The discussion at this meeting focused on what insight that can be gleaned from business survey data about the UK post-Covid recovery, and what that means for inflation in the future.

Summary of NIESR Business Conditions Forum October 2020 - Post-Brexit trade negotiations, the UK residential and commercial property markets and the UK government’s job support schemes

Discussion at this meeting was centred around three broad themes – post-Brexit trade negotiations, the UK residential and commercial property markets and the UK government’s job support schemes. Participants were encouraged to participate in a poll related to the three topics discussed towards the end of the meeting. 

Summary of the NIESR Business Conditions Forum July 2020 - Impact of Covid-19 on the UK economy

The topic for discussion was the impact of Covid-19 on the UK economy. The discussions were centred around the following questions:

• Are there any signs of consumer demand being lower than pre-Covid after lifting lockdown restrictions?

• Are we seeing any scarring to capacity e.g. bankruptcies?

• Have international supply chains been damaged? Are there signs of firms “re-shoring” production?

• How sustainable is the debt businesses have acquired? Are there signs of it weighing on recovery?

Summary of the NIESR Business Conditions Forum January 2021 - Economic impacts in the short and medium term of Covid-19 and Brexit

The discussion at this meeting was centred around the economic impacts in the short and medium term of Covid-19 and Brexit. The discussion ended with a poll where participants were asked to provide forecasts for unemployment, inflation and GDP.

Summary of the NIESR Business Conditions Forum April 2021 - Trade and latest economic developments

Agenda:

The discussion at this meeting was centred around trade and the latest economic developments. The discussion ended with a poll asking participants whether they thought restrictions would be lifted as per the government’s plan and whether there might be any new wave(s) of Covid-19. 

Summary of the NIESR Business Conditions Forum February 2020 - The "levelling up" policy

 

The National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) hosted the Business Conditions Forum (BCF) on 12th February. The aim of the BCF is to have informed and analytical discussions of data and surveys to better understand the current state of the UK economy. The discussions are held under Chatham House rules to encourage free and open discussion. NIESR is grateful to the ESRC and the Impact Accelerator Award (IAA) for funding the BCF.
Agenda

Summary of the NIESR Business Conditions Forum November 2019 - International Trade

 

International Trade

The meeting discussed latest trends in international trade. The discussions were centred around the
following five questions:

1. How much has global trade slowed?
2. Is the slowdown structural?
3. What are the effects from China-US tariffs on UK?
4. What risks arise from the Johnson Brexit deal?
5. Any evidence of businesses moving abroad?

Overview

Summary of the NIESR Business Conditions Forum August 2019 – Is the labour market turning?

National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) hosted the Business Conditions Forum (BCF) on 14th August. The aim of the BCF is to have informed and analytical discussions of data and surveys to better understand the current state of the UK economy. The discussions are held under Chatham House rules to encourage free and open discussion. NIESR is grateful to the ESRC and the Impact Accelerator Award (IAA) for funding the BCF.

Is the labour market turning?