NIESR GDP Tracker

Publication date: 13 May 2020 | Publication type: NIESR GDP Tracker | Authors: Whyte, K
Economy Contracting at Rapid Pace   Main Points The ONS preliminary estimates suggest that growth declined by 2.0 per cent in the first quarter of 2020, broadly consistent with what we suggested it could be last month (figure1.) The substantive contraction in growth reflects negative contributions...
Publication date: 9 Apr 2020 | Publication type: NIESR GDP Tracker | Authors: Whyte, K
  GDP Could Contract by 15 to 25 Per Cent in Second Quarter   Note: Grey and Burgundy bars show high and low scenarios   Main Points: Once in a century event poses major threat to UK growth. The UK economy could now see growth decline by 5% in the first quarter of 2020, and if a lockdown continues...
Publication date: 11 Mar 2020 | Publication type: NIESR GDP Tracker | Authors: Whyte, K
UK remains on course for 0.2 per cent growth in 2020 Q1, but outbreak of the Coronavirus poses a major threat to the economic outlook Main points The UK economy remains on course to grow by 0.2% in first quarter of 2020 (figure1.) According to new ONS statistics published this morning, the UK...
Publication date: 11 Feb 2020 | Publication type: NIESR GDP Tracker | Theme: Macroeconomics | Authors: Whyte, K
UK Economy to grow again in 2020 Q1 Please find the full commentary in the attachment
Publication date: 13 Jan 2020 | Publication type: NIESR GDP Tracker | Authors: Young, G
UK Output Stagnated at end of 2019                       Main points The UK economy is on course to post zero growth in the fourth quarter of 2019, consistent with growth of 1.4 per cent in 2019 as a whole.  On the basis of recent trends we tentatively forecast service sector-driven growth of 0.3...
Publication date: 10 Dec 2019 | Publication type: NIESR GDP Tracker | Theme: Macroeconomics | Authors: Young, G
Growth Petering Out at End of Year Please find the full commentary in the attachment
Publication date: 11 Nov 2019 | Publication type: NIESR GDP Tracker | Theme: Macroeconomics | Authors: Young, G
Output Stagnating After Mid-Year Rebound Please find the full commentary in the attachment
Publication date: 10 Oct 2019 | Publication type: NIESR GDP Tracker | Authors: Young, G
    GDP DATA BETTER THAN EXPECTED   Figure 1 - UK GDP growth (3 months on previous 3 months, per cent)   Please find the full commentary in attachment  
Publication date: 9 Sep 2019 | Publication type: NIESR GDP Tracker | Authors: Young, G
Economic growth resumes for now     Figure 1 - UK GDP growth (3 months on previous 3 months, per cent)   Please find the full commentary in the attachment    
Publication date: 9 Aug 2019 | Publication type: NIESR GDP Tracker | Theme: Macroeconomics | Authors: Young, G
Economic growth grinds to a halt Please find the full commentary in the attachment

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