Trackers

Each month NIESR tracks a series of key economic indicators, including Consumer Price Inflation (CPI), Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Wages, and uses this data to forecast the future of the UK economy.  In addition, each quarter we publish a Term Premium Tracker and from February 2021 to February 2022 we tracked UK Covid-19 infection rates.

UK Economic Indicators

GDP Trackers

Providing a estimate for the previous month's GDP, and a full forecast for the quarter of publication, our monthly GDP tracker provides a rolling monthly forecast for GDP...

Wage Trackers

Including predictions for regular pay for the whole economy, as well as forecasts for private and public sector wages, the wage tracker exploits information from key macroeconomic indicators...

CPI Trackers

CPI inflation reflects changes in the prices of thousands of products, some of them quite volatile.  Our monthly CPI Tracker looks in detail at changes in the prices...

Covid-19 Trackers

During the Covid-19 pandemic we produced weekly followed by monthly updates, using time series models, to project new cases in the UK. Our final release was in February...

Term Premium Trackers

Based on a five-factor, no-arbitrage term structure model, our Term Premium Tracker aims to provide quarterly updates of the Treasury term premia estimates for the UK, the US...

Publications - all trackers filters

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publication

Term Premia Remain Stable Ahead of Expected Rate Cuts

22 Mar 2024

Term Premium Trackers

publication

No Rate Cut Expected at Tomorrow’s MPC Meeting

20 Mar 2024

CPI Trackers

publication

UK Wages Expected to Grow by 5.4 Per Cent in Q1

12 Mar 2024

Wage Trackers

publication

UK Economy Contracts Between 2022Q1 and 2023Q4

15 Feb 2024

GDP Trackers

publication

What Can We Learn From the New Labour Force Survey Figures?

13 Feb 2024

Wage Trackers

publication

Monthly Rise in CPI Likely Reflective of ‘Noise’

17 Jan 2024

CPI Trackers

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