Each month NIESR tracks a series of key economic indicators, including Consumer Price Inflation (CPI), Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Wages, and uses this data to forecast the future of the UK economy. In addition, each quarter we publish a Term Premium Tracker and from February 2021 February 2022 we tracked UK Covid-19 infection rates.
Providing a estimate for the previous month's GDP, and a full forecast for the quarter of publication, our monthly GDP tracker provides a rolling monthly forecast for GDP...
Including predictions for regular pay for the whole economy, as well as forecasts for private and public sector wages, the wage tracker exploits information from key macroeconomic indicators...
CPI inflation reflects changes in the prices of thousands of products, some of them quite volatile. Our monthly CPI Tracker looks in detail at changes in the prices...
Throughout the Covid-19 pandemic, we produced weekly updates, using time series models, to project new cases throughout the UK. This has subsequently reverted to a monthly publication, the...
Based on a five-factor, no-arbitrage term structure model, our Term Premium Tracker aims to provide quarterly updates of the Treasury term premia estimates for the UK, the US...
18 May 2022
17 May 2022
12 May 2022
13 Apr 2022
12 Apr 2022
11 Apr 2022
23 Mar 2022
16 Mar 2022
Term Premium Trackers