Trackers

Each month NIESR tracks a series of key economic indicators, including Consumer Price Inflation (CPI), Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Wages, and uses this data to forecast the future of the UK economy.  In addition, each quarter we publish a Term Premium Tracker and have, since February 2021 been tracking UK Covid-19 infection rates.

UK Economic Indicators

GDP Trackers

Providing a estimate for the previous month's GDP, and a full forecast for the quarter of publication, our monthly GDP tracker provides a rolling monthly forecast for GDP...

Wage Trackers

Including predications for regular pay for the whole economy, as well as forecasts for private and public sector wages, the wage tracker exploits information from key macroeconomic indicators...

CPI Trackers

CPI inflation reflects changes in the prices of thousands of products, some of them quite volatile.  Our monthly CPI Tracker looks in detail at changes in the prices...

Covid-19 Trackers

Throughout the Covid-19 pandemic, we produced weekly updates, using time series models, to project new cases throughout the UK. This has subsequently reverted to a monthly publication.

Term Premium Trackers

Based on a five-factor, no-arbitrage term structure model, our Term Premium Tracker aims to provide quarterly updates of the Treasury term premia estimates for the UK, the US...

Publications - all trackers filters

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publication

Underlying Inflation at Record Level High

19 Jan 2022

CPI Trackers

publication

Rising Pay Increases to Pressure Bank of England

18 Jan 2022

Wage Trackers

publication

GDP Gathered Momentum Before Omicron

14 Jan 2022

GDP Trackers

publication

No respite for consumers before Christmas

15 Dec 2021

CPI Trackers

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Record Vacancies Result in Pay Increases for New Hires

14 Dec 2021

Wage Trackers

publication

GP Visits Keep GDP Growing in October

10 Dec 2021

GDP Trackers

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