- Home
- Publications
- Examining The Relationship Between Immigration And Unemployment Using National Insurance Number Registration Data
Examining the relationship between immigration and unemployment using National Insurance Number registration data
Immigration has been central in recent UK policy debates and has attracted significant concern over its possible adverse effect on labour market outcomes. This paper contributes to the evidence on this issue by presenting initial results on the impact of migration inflows on the claimant count rate using previously unused data on National Insurance Number registrations of foreign nationals. Our results, which appear robust to different specifications, different levels of geographic aggregation, and to a number of tests, seem to confirm the lack of any impact of migration on unemployment in aggregate. We find no association between migrant inflows and claimant unemployment. In addition, we test for whether the impact of migration on claimant unemployment varies according to the state of the economic cycle. We find no evidence of a more adverse during periods of low growth or the recent recession.
Related Blog Posts
Breaking Down the Different Types of Pension in the UK
Robyn Smith
Adrian Pabst
25 Mar 2024
6 min read
What Are the Implications of the Rising National Minimum Wage and National Living Wage Rates?
Ekaterina Aleynikova
Adrian Pabst
19 Mar 2024
5 min read
How Changes in Migration Policy Could Boost Scotland’s Economy
Max Mosley
Ekaterina Aleynikova
18 Dec 2023
3 min read
Related Projects
Related News
Press Release: Compositional effects push up average weekly earnings at the end of 2020
26 Jan 2021
2 min read
Press Release: 2020 shaping up to be the worst year for total pay growth since 2009
15 Dec 2020
2 min read
Related Publications
The Nature of the Inflationary Surprise in Europe and the USA
21 Mar 2024
Discussion Papers
Pay-Setting Among Employers in the Agriculture, Cleaning, Hospitality and Retail Sectors
11 Mar 2024
Research Report
Energy and Climate Policy in a DSGE Model of the United Kingdom
08 Mar 2024
Discussion Papers