- Home
- Publications
- Local Economic Effects Of Brexit
Local economic effects of Brexit
External Authors
Dhingra, S
Machin, S
Overman, H
Related Themes
Macro-Economic Dynamics and PolicyTags
JEL Code
F13, F15, F17, R1
Journal
National Institute Economic Review
Publisher
Sage Publications, London
External Resources
http://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/002795011724200112
This paper studies local economic impacts of the increases in trade barriers associated with Brexit. Predictions of the local impact of Brexit are presented under two different scenarios, soft and hard Brexit, which are developed from a structural trade model. Average effects are predicted to be negative under both scenarios, and to be more negative under hard Brexit. The spatial variation in negative shocks across areas is higher in the latter case as some local areas are particularly specialised in sectors that are predicted to be badly hit by hard Brexit. Areas in the South of England, and urban areas, are harder hit by Brexit under both scenarios. Again, this pattern is explained by sector specialisation. Finally, the areas that were most likely to vote remain are those that are predicted to be most negatively impacted by Brexit.
Related Blog Posts
Public Debt Sustainability and Fiscal Rules
Stephen Millard
Benjamin Caswell
05 Feb 2024
4 min read
Related Projects
Related News
Call for Papers: Lessons From Quantitative Easing & Quantitative Tightening
09 Feb 2024
1 min read
Related Publications
Adam Smith and the Bankers: Retrospect and Prospect
04 Jan 2024
National Institute Economic Review
On the Promises and Perils of Smithian Growth: From the Pin Factory to AI
04 Jan 2024
National Institute Economic Review
Economic Progress and Adam Smith’s Dilemma
04 Jan 2024
National Institute Economic Review
Adam Smith’s ‘Wealth of Nations’ is Still Relevant to UK Trade Policymaking on International Trade
04 Jan 2024
National Institute Economic Review