Modelling the impact of Covid-19 on the UK economy: an application of a disaggregated New-Keynesian model

Publication date: 12 Aug 2021 | Publication type: NIESR Discussion Paper | Theme: Macroeconomics | NIESR Author(s): Lenoel, C; Young, G | JEL Classification: E00, E12, E20, E23, E24, E30, E52, E60, E62 | NIESR Discussion Paper Number: 531

We set out a framework that can be used to evaluate policies intended to mitigate the economic effects of Covid-19.  In our framework shocks that affect only certain sectors can spill over to other sectors because of input-output linkages and limited income insurance.  We show that policies such as the furlough scheme can prevent the sharp rises in unemployment that might arise in the absence of the scheme, and illustrate how such policies can be evaluated using the framework. 

Keyword tags: 
COVID-19
recession
sectoral model
input-output

Research programmes