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Publications

Annual Finance Conference 2016 video playlist
Publication date: 22 Mar 2016 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Britain & Finance | External Author(s): Di Nicolo, G, Beck, T, Goodhart, C, Barth, J, Schoenmaker, D, Allen, F, Admati, A
Video interviews with speakers from our 2016 Annual Finance Conference held at the Bank of England on Friday 18th March, on the topic of "Financial regulation: are we reaching an efficient outcome?"
Video highlights of our "Economics of the UK’s EU membership" event
Publication date: 24 Feb 2016 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Exiting the EU & Britain after Brexit | External Author(s): Econfilms
Watch highlights of the debate between Lord Norman Lamont (former Chancellor of the Exchequer, 1990-93) and Sir Vince Cable (Secretary of State for Business Innovation and Skills, 2010-15) along with interviews on our YouTube channel. This was part of our "Economics of the UK’s EU membership"...
Strategy, Structure and Resourcing in UK Trades Unions
Publication date: 5 Jan 2016 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Trade, Investment & Productivity | NIESR Author(s): Forth, J | External Author(s): Willman, P., Bryson, A. | Project: Union resources
Paper presented at the 2016 LERA Conference, San Francisco, 4th January 2016. This paper updates the empirical literature on trade union resources in the UK. We argue that British unions lack resources effectively to manage first and second order collective action problems, and that the resource...
What's New in Employment Relations?
Publication date: 16 Sep 2015 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Trade, Investment & Productivity | NIESR Author(s): Bryson, A
Presentation to the Employee Relations Institute, London, on management and productivity in Britain
It’s Where You Work: Increases in Earnings Dispersion Across Establishments and Individuals in the U.S.
Publication date: 5 Mar 2015 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Employment & Social policy | NIESR Author(s): Bryson, A | External Author(s): Barth, E., Davis, J. and Freeman, R. B.
Presentation to IFS/UCL/CEP Workshop on Wages and Low Pay. We show growth in earnings dispersion across establishments accounts for roughly two-thirds of the growth in wage dispersion across employees in the United States since the 1970s. https://www.ucl.ac.uk/economics/non-seminar/wages-lowpay
Bank Credit Conditions and their Influence on Productivity Growth: Company-level Evidence
Publication date: 17 Feb 2015 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Trade, Investment & Productivity | NIESR Author(s): Riley, R, | External Author(s): Young, G
The productivity puzzle – it remains unclear how and to what extent the lack of credit has affected productivity
The UK's Productivity Puzzle
Publication date: 23 Jan 2015 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Trade, Investment & Productivity | NIESR Author(s): Bryson, A, Forth, J
Paper presented at Ecole Normale Supérieure, Paris, on the UK's productivity puzzle.
Bank Credit Conditions and Productivity Growth: Company-level Evidence
Publication date: 19 Jan 2015 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Trade, Investment & Productivity | NIESR Author(s): Riley, R, | External Author(s): Young, G
Using firm level data we examine whether aggregate productivity weakness arises because of resource misallocation between existing firms and/or a lack of creative destruction or cleansing effect of recession Using firm level data we assess these effects by comparing credit constrained bank...
Union Organisation: Its Costs and Benefits
Publication date: 12 Dec 2014 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Employment & Social policy | NIESR Author(s): Bryson, A, Forth, J | External Author(s): P. Willman
Presentation on Union Organisation: Its Costs and Benefits" - LSE conference on "Trade Unions, Inequality and Pay Stagnation"
The UK's Productivity Puzzle
Publication date: 10 Dec 2014 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Trade, Investment & Productivity | NIESR Author(s): Bryson, A, Forth, J
The paper reviews what we know about the causes of the UK's productivity puzzle and contributes to the literature by examining what we can learn from cross-sectional and panel workplace data about the way in which firms have responded to the recession - University of Bath economics seminar
Who Fared Better? The Fortunes of Performance-Pay and Fixed-Pay Workers Through Recession
Publication date: 19 Nov 2014 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Employment & Social policy | NIESR Author(s): Bryson, A, Forth, J, Stokes, L, Weale, M
Seminar Presentation, Department of Economics, University of Aberdeen: We examine whether those paid for performance fared better in terms of wage growth and job tenure than their fixed pay counterparts through the most recent recession. In theory we might anticipate that, since performance pay...
Conference Slides: Productivity and Firm Growth
Publication date: 12 Nov 2014 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Trade, Investment & Productivity | NIESR Author(s): Bryson, A, Riley, R | External Author(s): Richard Harris (University of Durham)
This event was held at NIESR on Tuesday 11 November. It forms part of the NIESR-LLAKES project on the productivity puzzle.  Agenda was as follows: 16:00 Registration 16:30 Introduction by Geoff Mason, LLAKES and National Institute of Economic and Social Research   16:35...
Measuring performance pay: using the Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings and the Monthly Wages and Salaries Survey (seminar presentation)
Publication date: 6 Nov 2014 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Employment & Social policy | NIESR Author(s): Stokes, L, Forth, J
A seminar presentation outlining the opportunities provided by the Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings (ASHE) and the Monthly Wages and Salaries Survey (MWSS) for the analysis of performance-related pay. Discusses the content of the surveys, their sample designs and issues relating to the use of...
The UK Productivity Puzzle
Publication date: 4 Nov 2014 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Trade, Investment & Productivity | NIESR Author(s): Bryson, A | External Author(s): Forth, J.
Presentation of paper at Institute of Education. The paper reviews the literature on the UK's productivity "puzzle", examining some of the main culprits or suspects  that may explain recent trends.  It contributes to the empirical literature by testing some hypotheses in new ways, in order to shed...
Bank Credit Conditions and their Influence on Productivity Growth: Company-level Evidence
Publication date: 1 Nov 2014 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Trade, Investment & Productivity | NIESR Author(s): Riley, R, | External Author(s): Young, G
The productivity puzzle – it remains unclear how and to what extent the lack of credit has affected productivity
The Performance Pay Premium
Publication date: 22 Sep 2014 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Employment & Social policy | NIESR Author(s): Bryson, A, Forth, J, Stokes, L
Using nationally representative linked employer-employee data we find one-quarter of employees in Britain are paid for performance. The log hourly wage gap between performance pay and fixed pay employees is .36 points.  This falls to .15 log points after controlling for observable demographic, job...
Conference Slides and Papers: The Future of Housing Finance
Publication date: 17 Sep 2014 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Britain & Finance
  Links to working papers ----------------- ​ “Housing finance and monetary policy” by Roman Sustek (QMUL) “When is a housing market overheated enough to threaten stability?” by John Muellbauer (Oxford University) “Market structure of housing finance and the US housing bubble” by Susan Wachter (...
The UK economy: transitioning to a sustained recovery
Publication date: 16 Sep 2014 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Macroeconomics | NIESR Author(s): Kirby, S
Presentation to the 90th Kieler Konjunkturgespräch, Austrian Embassy, Berlin.
Productivity Dynamics in the Great Stagnation: Evidence from British Businesses
Publication date: 28 Jul 2014 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Trade, Investment & Productivity | NIESR Author(s): Riley, R, | External Author(s): Young, G
A banking crisis may inhibit efficient resource allocation across businesses Using firm level data we can examine whether aggregate productivity weakness arises because of resource misallocation between existing firms and/or a lack of creative destruction or cleansing effect of recession
Trade union membership and influence, 1999-2013 (presentation to TUC's Leading Change program)
Publication date: 17 Jul 2014 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Employment & Social policy | NIESR Author(s): Forth, J, Bryson, A
Presentation on trade unions' membership, organizational resources and influence in Britain, 1999-2013. The material was presented to trade union officers attending the TUC's 2014 Leading Change program. The presentation draws on data from the Certification Officer, the Quarterly Labour Force...
Understanding productivity performance in the Great Stagnation: a dynamic decomposition approach
Publication date: 8 Jul 2014 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Trade, Investment & Productivity | NIESR Author(s): Riley, R, | External Author(s): Young, G
A banking crisis may inhibit efficient resource allocation across businesses Using firm level data we can examine whether aggregate productivity weakness arises because of resource misallocation between existing firms and/or a lack of creative destruction or cleansing effect of recession
Productivity and Firm Growth Workshop: Conference Slides
Publication date: 4 Jul 2014 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Trade, Investment & Productivity | NIESR Author(s): Mason, G, Riley, R | Project: Skills, innovation and economic growth
This was the first of two workshops planned for this year at which new research findings on productivity and firm growth are to be presented and discussed. These workshops are expected to be of particular interest to policy-makers and other researchers who are working in these areas. The...
Performance Pay Workshop: Conference Slides
Publication date: 27 Jun 2014 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Employment & Social policy | NIESR Author(s): Stokes, L, Forth, J, Bryson, A
Economists get pretty fixated about paying workers for their performance. That's why we devoted November's Special Issue of the NIESR Review to the topic. We followed up with a one-day workshop, which was free to attend, on a first-come-first-served basis. The workshop brought together academics,...
Pay Equity After the Equality Act 2010: Does Sexual Orientation Still Matter?
Publication date: 25 Jun 2014 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Employment & Social policy | NIESR Author(s): Bryson, A
Using linked employer-employee data for Britain I find bisexual men earn around 31% less per hour less than heterosexual employees, a differential that falls to 20% having controlled for demographic, job and workplace characteristics.  The gap is apparent within workplaces and within detailed...
The Impact of the Financial Crisis on UK Company Performance
Publication date: 24 Jun 2014 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Trade, Investment & Productivity | NIESR Author(s): Riley, R, | External Author(s): Young, G
A banking crisis may inhibit efficient resource allocation across businesses Using firm level data we can examine whether aggregate productivity weakness arises because of resource misallocation between existing firms and/or a lack of creative destruction or cleansing effect of recession And may...
Pay Equity After the Equality Act 2010: Does Sexual Orientation Still Matter?
Publication date: 10 Jun 2014 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Employment & Social policy | NIESR Author(s): Bryson, A | JEL Classification: J15, J33, J71
Using linked employer-employee data for Britain I find bisexual men earn around 31% less per hour less than heterosexual employees, a differential that falls to 20% having controlled for demographic, job and workplace characteristics. The gap is apparent within workplaces and within detailed...
Are firms paying more for performance?
Publication date: 28 May 2014 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Employment & Social policy | NIESR Author(s): Forth, J, Bryson, A, Stokes, L
Poster presentation at the Workshop on Firm-Level Analysis of Labour Issues, Louvain-la-Neuve (UCL-Belgium), 28 May 2014
The performance pay premium: how big is it and does it affect wage dispersion?
Publication date: 28 May 2014 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Employment & Social policy | NIESR Author(s): Bryson, A, Forth, J, Stokes, L
Poster presentation at Workshop on Firm-Level Analysis of Labour Issues, Louvain-la-Neuve (UCL-Belgium), 28 May 2014
The Performance Pay Premium
Publication date: 14 May 2014 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Employment & Social policy | NIESR Author(s): Bryson, A | External Author(s): Forth, J., Stokes, L. Issue Links between performance pay and wages
Using nationally representative linked employer-employee data we find one-quarter of employees in Britain are paid for performance. The log hourly wage gap between performance pay and fixed pay employees is .36 points.  This falls to .15 log points after controlling for observable demographic, job...
Public sector debt, borrowing, taxation and fiscal rules
Publication date: 25 Apr 2014 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Exiting the EU & Britain after Brexit | NIESR Author(s): Armstrong, A, Ebell, M
Evidence presented to Scottish Parliament’s Finance Committee   Dr Angus Armstrong, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, Economic and Social Research Council Senior Scotland Fellow and Centre for Macroeconomics. a.armstrong [at] niesr.ac.uk   Dr Monique Ebell, National Institute of...
Employee Stock Purchase Plans: Gift or Incentive?
Publication date: 11 Apr 2014 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Employment & Social policy | NIESR Author(s): Bryson, A | External Author(s): Freeman, R. B.
Many large listed firms offer workers the opportunity to buy shares in the firm at discounted rates through employee stock purchase plans (ESPP).  The discounted rate creates a gift exchange, where the firm hopes that workers who accept the gift reciprocate with greater loyalty and effort.  But...
Productivity Dynamics in the Great Stagnation: Evidence from British Businesses
Publication date: 9 Apr 2014 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Trade, Investment & Productivity | NIESR Author(s): Riley, R, | External Author(s): Young, G
We investigate to what extent the weakness in productivity in the aftermath of the global financial crisis of 2007/2008  may be due to: a reduction in the allocation of resources between high and low productivity firms which might occur through: resource misallocation between existing firms a lack...
Bank Credit Conditions and UK Company Performance
Publication date: 7 Apr 2014 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Trade, Investment & Productivity | NIESR Author(s): Riley, R, | External Author(s): Young, G
The productivity puzzle – it remains unclear how and to what extent the lack of credit has affected productivity
The Impact of the Financial Crisis on UK Company Performance
Publication date: 7 Apr 2014 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Trade, Investment & Productivity | NIESR Author(s): Riley, R | External Author(s): Young, G
UK productivity fell sharply during the recession of 2008-9, and recovered only sluggishly after that. In levels terms, productivity is currently about 15 per cent below a simple extrapolation of its pre-crisis trend. This contrasts very sharply with the experience of other post-war recessions in...
The Performance Pay Premium
Publication date: 25 Mar 2014 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Employment & Social policy | NIESR Author(s): Bryson, A, Forth, J, Stokes, L
Using nationally representative linked employer-employee data we find one-quarter of employees in Britain are paid for performance. The log hourly wage gap between performance pay and fixed pay employees is .36 points.  This falls to .15 log points after controlling for observable demographic, job...
The UK economy: a balanced recovery?
Publication date: 18 Mar 2014 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Macroeconomics | NIESR Author(s): Kirby, S
Presentation to the 89th Kieler Konjunkturgespräch, Kiel Germany.
Are Firms Paying More for Performance?
Publication date: 10 Feb 2014 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Trade, Investment & Productivity | NIESR Author(s): Bryson, A, Forth, J, Stokes, L
Despite its potential to raise productivity, performance-related-pay (PRP) is not widespread in market-oriented economies. Furthermore, despite secular changes conducive to its take-up, there is mixed evidence as to whether it has become more prominent over time. Ours is the first paper to present...
Scotland's possible currency options
Publication date: 29 Jan 2014 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Exiting the EU & Britain after Brexit | NIESR Author(s): Armstrong, A
Speaking note, Royal Society of Edinburgh, January 2014
Royal Society of Edinburgh Speech: Scotland's Possible Currency Options
Publication date: 15 Jan 2014 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Exiting the EU & Britain after Brexit | NIESR Author(s): Armstrong, A
See attached file for a copy of the speech, given in January 2014. 
Union Coverage and Bargaining Outcomes
Publication date: 9 Jan 2014 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Employment & Social policy | NIESR Author(s): Bryson, A, Forth, J
Presentation to Leading Change, a TUC workshop for union leaders, University of Warwick. Presents latest evidence on union membership, coverage, organisational capacity and union effectiveness.
Using the ABS for research purposes at NIESR
Publication date: 19 Dec 2013 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Trade, Investment & Productivity | NIESR Author(s): Riley, R
The main aim of this research is to investigate the underlying causes of recent productivity weakness in the UK, examining in particular the mechanisms by which the banking sector crisis might have affected the supply side of the UK economy, and how it has affected company performance.
Prospects for the UK Economy, Presentation to the Low Pay Commission December 2013
Publication date: 19 Dec 2013 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Macroeconomics | NIESR Author(s): Kirby, S
Can an Ageing Scotland Afford Independence?
Publication date: 6 Dec 2013 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Exiting the EU & Britain after Brexit | NIESR Author(s): Lisenkova, K | External Author(s): Marcel Mérette
In the light of the current Scottish independence debate, much attention is being paid to whether Scotland and the rest of the UK (RUK) will be better off after the separation. Fiscal challenges are often quoted as a strong argument against independence. Demographic processes play an important role...
Employment Relations in the Shadow of Recession
Publication date: 25 Nov 2013 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Employment & Social policy | NIESR Author(s): Bryson, A, Forth, J, Stokes, L
The Impact of the Financial Crisis on UK Company Performance
Publication date: 14 Nov 2013 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Trade, Investment & Productivity | NIESR Author(s): Riley, R, | External Author(s): Young, G
What has been the impact of the banking sector crisis on bank credit conditions experienced by UK companies? What is the evidence that this has affected the performance of UK companies?
Can Post-Employment Services Combined with Financial Incentives Improve Employment Retention for Welfare Recipients? Evidence from the Texas Employment Retention and Advancement Evaluation
Publication date: 7 Nov 2013 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Employment & Social policy | NIESR Author(s): Dorsett, R | External Author(s): Richard Hendra, Philip K. Robins
Presentation at Association of Public Policy and Management Fall Conference, Washington D.C.
A Multi-Level Analysis of the Impacts of Services Provided By the UK Employment Retention and Advancement Demonstration
Publication date: 7 Nov 2013 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Employment & Social policy | NIESR Author(s): Dorsett, R | External Author(s): Philip K. Robins
presentation at Association of Public Policy and Management Fall Conference, Washington D.C.
Not So Dissatisfied After All? The Impact of Union Coverage on Job Satisfaction
Publication date: 4 Nov 2013 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | NIESR Author(s): Bryson, A | External Author(s): White, M.
The links between unionisation and job satisfaction remain controversial. In keeping with the existing literature we find strong statistically significant negative correlations between unionisation and overall job satisfaction. However, in contrast to the previous literature we find that once one...
Exploratory Analysis of the English Business Survey
Publication date: 30 Sep 2013 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Macroeconomics | NIESR Author(s): Kirby, S
Not So Dissatisfied After All? The Impact of Union Coverage on Job Satisfaction
Publication date: 24 Sep 2013 | Publication type: Conference and seminar output | Theme: Employment & Social policy | NIESR Author(s): Bryson, A | External Author(s): White, M.
The links between unionisation and job satisfaction remain controversial. In keeping with the existing literature we find strong statistically significant negative correlations between unionisation and overall job satisfaction. However, in contrast to the previous literature we find that once one...
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