UK GDP Growth is Expected to Slow

“Prospects for the UK Economy” taken from the National Institute Economic Review

Pub. Date
01 February, 2017

Key points

  • GDP growth is expected to slow from 2 per cent in 2016 to 1.7 per cent in 2017 and 1.9 per cent in 2018.
  • We forecast consumer price inflation to average 3.3 per cent in 2017 and 2.9 per cent in 2018.
  • We expect the MPC to ‘look through’ this temporary period of above target inflation.
  • The new fiscal mandate is for the government to reduce cyclically adjusted public sector net borrowing to below 2 per cent of GDP by 2020–21. We expect the government to meet this target with relative ease.