The UK’s Decision to Leave the EU: the Impact on European Economies

This is a preview from the National Institute Economic Review, August 2016, no 237

Ahead of the forthcoming issue of the National Institute Economic Review (NIER no. 237) that will be published on Wednesday 3rd August, we release a series of boxes, each of them looking at specific aspects of the economic implications of the EU Referendum outcome.

This box, prepared by James Warren, analyses the impact of the UK’s decision to leave the EU on European Economies.

James Warren, NIESR Research Fellow, said that "As the Review will show the Referendum result leads to a marked slowdown in growth in the UK and we show in this Box that this also has significant negative spillovers for growth in the Euro Area. In 2017, the level of GDP in the Euro Area will be some 0.4% lower than it would otherwise have been, and in the European Union 0.5% lower.  The most significant impacts will be on Ireland, Italy, Netherlands and Spain."