Cyrille Lenoel

Principal Economist Twitter: @clenoel

Research interests: 

Cyrille is an experienced developer of quantitative models in economics and finance. At NIESR, he contributes to the development of the National Institute Global Econometric Model (NiGEM) and the new National Institute Sectoral Econometric Model (NiSEM) that he initiated. He produces the NIESR Wage Tracker and Term Premia estimates. After forecasting macroeconomic variables for a range of countries, Cyrille has now focused on forecasting the UK economy. His work involves modelling the impact of Brexit, Covid-19 and fiscal policies on the economy. Cyrille is a keen user of Python.

Education: 

• MSc in Engineering (Signal Processing) at Ecole Centrale de Nantes (2005)
• MSc in Economics at Toulouse School of Economics (2011)

Employment: 

Before joining NIESR in 2017, Cyrille developed risk and trading models at DNCA Finance, Nexfi and J.P. Morgan, and did internships at ArcelorMittal and TotalEnergie.

• Blogspot 
• NIESR blogs
• Econpapers

Blog posts by Cyrille Lenoel

Did street unrest damage the outlook for France?

11 Feb 2019, Lenoel, C

Italy’s draft budget: a costly stimulus that lacks structural reforms

30 Oct 2018, Lenoel, C

The Great British Trade-Off

13 Feb 2018, Lenoel, C

Can Macron’s fiscal plan deliver on all fronts?

07 Nov 2017, Lenoel, C

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Projects

Real-time turning point indicators; International review of current practices [completed]