Each month NIESR tracks a series of key economic indicators, including Consumer Price Inflation (CPI), Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Wages, and uses this data to forecast the future of the UK economy. In addition, each quarter we publish a Term Premium Tracker and have, since February 2021 been tracking UK Covid-19 infection rates.
Providing a estimate for the previous month's GDP, and a full forecast for the quarter of publication, our monthly GDP tracker provides a rolling monthly forecast for GDP...
Including predications for regular pay for the whole economy, as well as forecasts for private and public sector wages, the wage tracker exploits information from key macroeconomic indicators...
CPI inflation reflects changes in the prices of thousands of products, some of them quite volatile. Our monthly CPI Tracker looks in detail at changes in the prices...
Throughout the Covid-19 pandemic, we produced weekly updates, using time series models, to project new cases throughout the UK. This has subsequently reverted to a monthly publication.
Based on a five-factor, no-arbitrage term structure model, our Term Premium Tracker aims to provide quarterly updates of the Treasury term premia estimates for the UK, the US...
19 Jan 2022
18 Jan 2022
14 Jan 2022
13 Jan 2022
15 Dec 2021
14 Dec 2021
13 Dec 2021
Term Premium Trackers
10 Dec 2021