Policy Note: An update to our Review forecast for the November lockdown

Publication date: 4 Nov 2020 | Publication type: Policy Paper | NIESR Author(s): KucukH; Lenoel, C; MacQueen, R | Report number: 23



We estimate that the November lockdown will contribute to a fourth quarter contraction in GDP in the region of 3 per cent and reduce year-on-year growth from our November Review main case forecast of -10.5% to between -11.5 and -12%.