Macro-Economic Modelling and Forecasting

Our greatest economic challenge is to understand how the forces of globalisation will affect our prosperity. Modelling important economic and financial interactions in the UK and global economies is the best way to make sense of the processes shaping our future.

NIESR is the leading macroeconomics research institute in the UK and home of one of the most successful large-scale structural macroeconomic models in the world.  We produce quarterly forecasts on both the UK and global economy, as well as a series of monthly trackers. Subscribers to the National Institute Global Econometric Model (NiGEM) include central banks, finance ministries and an increasing number of private organisations.

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Projects

Publications

publication

GDP Gathered Momentum Before Omicron

14 Jan 2022

GDP Trackers

publication

An investigation of carbon taxes and terms-of-trade in a large macroeconometric mode

30 Dec 2021

National Institute Economic Review

publication

No respite for consumers before Christmas

15 Dec 2021

CPI Trackers

publication

Record Vacancies Result in Pay Increases for New Hires

14 Dec 2021

Wage Trackers

publication

GP Visits Keep GDP Growing in October

10 Dec 2021

GDP Trackers

publication

Awaiting Omicron – R Continues to Hover Around 1

02 Dec 2021

Covid-19 Trackers

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Blog Posts

Blog

The 2022 Survey of Economists

Jagjit S. Chadha

4 min read

Blog

An unexpected surge in inflation with more to come

Huw Dixon

8 min read

Blog

Brazil now forecast to see double-digit inflation

Janine Boshoff

5 min read

Blog

Worrying about the US inflation outlook

Corrado Macchiarelli

Barry Naisbitt

Patricia Sánchez Juanino

7 min read

Huw Blog Inflation Chart
Blog

What next after the largest month on month rise in the CPI since April 1993

Huw Dixon

10 min read

Huw CPI September 21
Blog

CPI Inflation, September 2021

Huw Dixon

13 min read

Blog

Effective COVID-19 policy is not only about public health, but also about economics

Flavio Toxvaerd

Miltos Makris

10 min read

Blog

Economic forecasting in a time of Covid-19

Barry Naisbitt

6 min read

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News

People