Macro-Economic Modelling and Forecasting

Our greatest economic challenge is to understand how the forces of globalisation will affect our prosperity. Modelling important economic and financial interactions in the UK and global economies is the best way to make sense of the processes shaping our future.

NIESR is the leading macroeconomics research institute in the UK and home of one of the most successful large-scale structural macroeconomic models in the world.  We produce quarterly forecasts on both the UK and global economy, as well as a series of monthly trackers. Subscribers to the National Institute Global Econometric Model (NiGEM) include central banks, finance ministries and an increasing number of private organisations.

Projects

Publications

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Blog Posts

Blog

What Next for UK Inflation and the Economy?

Hailey Low

Stephen Millard

08 Apr 2024

6 min read

Blog

Inflation: Down, But Not Out

Huw Dixon

20 Mar 2024

9 min read

Blog

What is the Current State of the UK Economy?

Paula Bejarano Carbo

Stephen Millard

26 Feb 2024

7 min read

Blog

Inflation Expected to Fall Below Two Per Cent by April

Huw Dixon

14 Feb 2024

7 min read

Blog

CPI Inflation Rose in December 2023, But is Likely to Fall Below 3 per cent by May

Huw Dixon

17 Jan 2024

7 min read

Blog

The 2024 Survey of Economists

Stephen Millard

Jagjit S. Chadha

04 Jan 2024

3 min read

British one pound coins placed on top of each other in the box. Coins have shiny reflections and deep shadows.
Blog

The UK Economy: After the Autumn Statement

Hailey Low

Stephen Millard

27 Nov 2023

7 min read

Blog

Record Breaking Fall in Inflation to 4.7% in October, With Inflation Set to Fall to 2-3% by May 2024

Huw Dixon

15 Nov 2023

5 min read

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